OPTIMAL BET · THE SLATE

Friday, April 24

Tonight's board: 3 NBA playoff Game 3s · 14 MLB · 3 NHL playoff games.

Two leagues are already in the postseason — the NBA opens Round 1 Game 3s and the Stanley Cup Playoffs roll through a three-game Friday card — while MLB offers a full 14-game regular-season slate with Ohtani's Dodgers hosting the Cubs as the nightcap.

NBA

First Round, Game 3 Night

Every game on tonight's NBA board is a Round 1 Game 3, with the series returning to the lower seeds after opening at the higher-seed home floor. Road teams are carrying the market across all three tips.

San Antonio at Portland · 10:30 PM ET

Moda Center · Amazon · Market: SA -2.5, total 218.5, SA ML -140

Wembanyama is the only player on this floor projected for 3 p50 blocks, and his p90 points+rebounds+assists of 57.7 is six clear of anyone else in the game. The model's next-closest p90 rebounding line belongs to Clingan at 15.9 — Wemby's is 17.2.

TeamPTSREBAST
SASWembanyama 24.5Wembanyama 11.2Castle 6.6
PORAvdija 22.9Clingan 9.7Holiday 6.3

The full NBA slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
BOS @ PHI7:00BOS -7.5215.5BOS 71.0%
LAL @ HOU8:00HOU -8.5206.5HOU 73.1%
SAS @ POR10:30SAS -2.5218.5SAS 56.7%

MLB

Full 14-Game Friday

A month into the season, the weekend opens with a full regular-season slate — every team in action except for rest-day clubs — and the day's headliner waits until 10:15 ET on the West Coast with the Cubs in Los Angeles.

Chi. Cubs at L.A. Dodgers · 10:15 PM ET

Dodger Stadium · Market: LAD -165, total 9.5, LAD -1.5

Ohtani is the only hitter on either side projected at p50 one-or-better in both runs and RBIs — every other stick, Freeman included, sits at 0 in at least one of those slots — and his p90 Hits+Runs+RBIs of 6.60 is the highest in the game. On the mound, Sheehan's p90 strikeouts of 8.5 outruns Taillon's 7.6, and Sheehan's p90 hits allowed (7.9) sits nearly a full hit below Taillon's (8.8).

TeamPitcherIPKH
CHCTaillon5.24.15.1
LADSheehan5.14.84.3

Top bats (Hits + Runs + RBIs, p50)

Team#1#2#3
CHCHoerner 1.8Bregman 1.5Busch 1.5
LADOhtani 2.4Freeman 2.0Smith 1.7

The full MLB slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
DET @ CIN6:40DET -1308.5DET 57.3%
BOS @ BAL7:05BAL -1208.5BOS 50.4%
CLE @ TOR7:07CLE -1277.5CLE 56.3%
COL @ NYM7:10NYM -2257.5NYM 63.7%
MIN @ TB7:10TB -1257.5TB 50.1%
PHI @ ATL7:15ATL -1439.5ATL 54.0%
WSH @ CWS7:40CWS -1259.5CWS 50.5%
PIT @ MIL7:40PIT -1357.5PIT 57.8%
LAA @ KC7:40KC -1108.5LAA 51.6%
OAK @ TEX8:05TEX -1558.5TEX 55.4%
NYY @ HOU8:10NYY -1439.5NYY 59.1%
SEA @ STL8:15SEA -1607.5SEA 61.0%
CHC @ LAD10:15LAD -1659.5LAD 57.2%
MIA @ SF10:15MIA -1147.5MIA 53.4%

NHL

Stanley Cup Playoffs · First Round

The regular season wrapped on April 16 and Round 1 tipped off two days later, so every puck drop tonight is a playoff game with series still in the early stages.

Edmonton at Anaheim · 10:00 PM ET

Honda Center · Market: EDM -130, total 7.0, EDM -1.5

McDavid is the only skater on either side with a p50 points projection of 2, and the game's p90 ceiling of 3 points is held by exactly three players — all Oilers — McDavid, Draisaitl, and Bouchard. Every Anaheim skater caps at 2 points in the upper band.

TeamPTSSOGBlocks
EDMMcDavid 2.0McDavid 4.0Nurse 2.0
ANACarlsson 1.0Gauthier 3.0LaCombe 2.0

The full NHL slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
TBL @ MTL7:00TBL -1206.0TBL 53.0%
VGK @ UTAH9:30UTAH -1076.0VGK 51.4%
EDM @ ANA10:00EDM -1307.0EDM 54.7%

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