OPTIMAL BET · THE SLATE

Sunday, May 17

Tonight’s board: 1 NBA playoff game · 15 MLB · 3 WNBA

Game 7 in Detroit headlines a loaded Sunday — the Cavaliers and Pistons settle their Eastern Conference Semifinal tonight with a trip to the conference finals on the line. A 15-game MLB slate fills the afternoon with rivalry matchups across both leagues, and the WNBA’s 30th season rolls into its second week with three games.

NBA

Eastern Conference Semifinals · Game 7

Winner-take-all at Little Caesars Arena, with the Knicks waiting in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Cleveland at Detroit · 8:00 PM ET

Little Caesars Arena · Market: DET -4.5, total 206.5, DET ML -185

Cade Cunningham is the only player in tonight’s Game 7 projected for 26-plus points and 8 assists — the next closest facilitator on either side is James Harden, who sits more than two assists below him. Cunningham’s combined ceiling in points, rebounds, and assists approaches 56, nearly eight clear of Donovan Mitchell’s, making him the most leveraged player on the board by a wide margin.

TeamPTSREBAST
CLEMitchell 25.6Mobley 8.3Harden 6.2
DETCunningham 26.4Duren 8.7Cunningham 8.5

The full NBA slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
CLE @ DET8:00DET -4.5206.5DET 61.9%

MLB

15-Game Sunday

A packed afternoon across both leagues features the Subway Series in Queens, the Beltway Series in D.C., and a Coors Field matinee with the slate’s highest projected total.

Arizona at Colorado · 3:10 PM ET

Coors Field · Market: ARI -150, total 10.5

Michael Soroka is the only starter on today’s board with a realistic path to double-digit strikeouts — his ceiling pushes past nine, while Lorenzen’s best day barely reaches six. At the plate, Arizona’s top three bats each project for more combined hits, runs, and RBIs than any Colorado hitter, setting up a Diamondbacks lineup that could run away with this one at altitude.

TeamPitcherIPKH
ARISoroka5.55.45.4
COLLorenzen5.03.25.9

Top bats (Hits + Runs + RBIs, p50)

Team#1#2#3
ARIMarte 2.4Carroll 2.4Arenado 2.2
COLMoniak 2.0Goodman 1.9Rumfield 1.6

The full MLB slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
MIA @ TB12:15TB -1607.5TB 56.2%
BOS @ ATL1:35ATL -1538.5ATL 55.7%
BAL @ WSH1:35BAL -13010.5BAL 56.6%
PHI @ PIT1:35PIT -1377.5PIT 52.9%
NYY @ NYM1:40NYM -1128NYY 51.7%
CIN @ CLE1:40CLE -1658.5CLE 57.3%
TOR @ DET1:40TOR -1307.5TOR 56.6%
MIL @ MIN2:10MIL -1217.5MIL 55.4%
TEX @ HOU2:10TEX -1208.5TEX 54.8%
CHC @ CWS2:10CHC -1358.5CHC 58.0%
KC @ STL2:15STL -1149.5KC 51.3%
ARI @ COL3:10ARI -15010.5ARI 60.5%
SF @ OAK4:05OAK -1489.5OAK 54.5%
LAD @ LAA4:07LAD -1409.5LAD 58.2%
SD @ SEA7:20SEA -1607.5SEA 56.6%

WNBA

Week 2

The WNBA’s 30th season is in its second week, with Indiana hosting Seattle in the day’s marquee matchup.

Seattle at Indiana · 6:00 PM ET

Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Market: IND -10.5, total 177.5, IND ML -577

Caitlin Clark projects for more assists than Seattle’s top two distributors combined, and her combined ceiling in points, rebounds, and assists sits nearly 17 clear of any Storm player’s best-case night. Indiana fields two players projected above 20 points in Clark and Kelsey Mitchell — Seattle’s leading scorer doesn’t crack 16.

TeamPTSREBAST
SEAJohnson 15.1Dolson 4.9Melbourne 4.1
INDMitchell 21.0Boston 7.3Clark 8.0

The full WNBA slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
LV @ ATL1:30LV -148172.5LV 58.4%
SEA @ IND6:00IND -577177.5IND 79.5%
CHI @ MIN7:00MIN -203168.5MIN 63.2%

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