A'ja Wilson's Rebounding Edge Towers Over Everyone Else

A'ja Wilson is projected for just under ten rebounds against a Toronto frontcourt playing without two rotation regulars, and no teammate comes within four boards of her tonight. Out at Wrigley, Riley Greene heads a Tigers lineup chasing a total near eleven and a half against Chicago's Jameson Taillon.

The Number
81.8%
The model's win probability for the Las Vegas Aces tonight — its most confident call on the board.
Today's Slate

MLB · 15 games — Watch: Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET

WNBA · 4 games — Watch: Las Vegas Aces at Toronto Tempo, 8:00 ET

Biggest Edge · Model vs. Market
Where our projection disagrees most with tonight's price: CWS @ TEX
Model — CWS win
43.2%
Price implies
40.8%
Player to Watch

MLB · Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs · 8:05 ET

Wrigley Field · Market: DET -105, total 11.5

Riley Greene is projected for more combined hits, runs, and RBIs than anyone else at Wrigley tonight, with only teammates Dillon Dingler and Kevin McGonigle within shouting distance and Chicago's Pete Crow-Armstrong the only Cub who gets particularly close. On the mound, Jack Flaherty carries a real strikeout edge over Jameson Taillon, giving Detroit a puncher's chance even on the road.

TeamPitcherIPKR
DETFlaherty5.05.13.0
CHCTaillon4.13.83.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
DETGreene 2.1Dingler 2.1McGonigle 2.0
CHCCrow-Armstrong 2.0Busch 1.9Suzuki 1.8

WNBA · Las Vegas Aces at Toronto Tempo · 8:00 ET

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Market: LV -11.5, total 181.5

A'ja Wilson's rebounding projection stands well clear of every other player on the floor — no teammate is within four boards of her, and no Tempo player is within shouting distance at all. Toronto, already down two rotation regulars up front, will need Marina Mabrey to carry the offense just to keep this one competitive.

TeamPTSREBAST
LVWilson 25.7Wilson 9.8Gray 6.9
TORMabrey 22.3Harrison 5.7Allemand 6.0
Prop of the Day
A'ja Wilson — rebounds
Optimal projection
9.8
Market line
10.5
The Full Board

MLB — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
MIN @ CLE6:40MIN -1257.5MIN 57.2%
LAD @ PHI7:00PHI -1418.5PHI 53.2%
PIT @ NYY7:05NYY -1177.5PIT 51.1%
TB @ TOR7:07TOR -1647.5TOR 56.3%
BAL @ BOS7:10BOS -1548.5BOS 55.2%
SD @ ATL7:15ATL -1319.5ATL 51.7%
NYM @ MIL7:40MIL -2137.5MIL 62.5%
SF @ KC7:40KC -11610.5SF 51.8%
DET @ CHC8:05DET -10511.5DET 52.0%
CWS @ TEX8:05TEX -1687.5TEX 56.8%
MIA @ HOU8:10HOU -1259HOU 50.1%
WSH @ COL8:40WSH -12511.5WSH 56.6%
OAK @ ARI9:40ARI -1489.5ARI 54.0%
CIN @ SEA9:40SEA -1437.5SEA 53.7%
STL @ LAA10:00LAA -1149.5STL 52.0%

WNBA — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
LV @ TOR8:00LV -11.5181.5LV 81.8%
NY @ DAL8:00NY -3.5176.5NY 60.7%
MIN @ SEA10:00MIN -9.5173MIN 79.0%
WSH @ GS10:00GS -8.5145.5GS 75.1%
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That's tonight's board — plenty on it.

See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line

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