Luis Arraez Projects As Tonight's Top Bat
Fifteen games fill tonight's MLB board, and the marquee matchup sends San Francisco into Kauffman Stadium as a modest road favorite. The model gives the Giants a 52.6% win probability against a Royals club leaning on Bobby Witt Jr., while on the other side Luis Arraez projects as the most productive hitter in the ballpark.
MLB · 15 games — Watch: San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals, 7:40 ET
Model — OAK win 48.0% | Price implies 46.1% |
MLB · San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals · 7:40 ET
Kauffman Stadium · Market: SF -110, total 9.5
Luis Arraez has built his career on putting the bat on the ball, and tonight the model likes him as the most productive hitter on either roster, with Kansas City's Bobby Witt Jr. right behind him. On the mound, Tyler Mahle is projected to go deeper into the game and rack up more strikeouts than Royals starter Luinder Avila, giving San Francisco a rotation edge in Kansas City.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
Optimal projection 15.6 | Market line 15.5 |
Tyler Mahle outs — Over or Under 15.5 tonight?
MLB — full slate
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD @ PHI | 6:40 | PHI -134 | 8.5 | PHI 51.7% |
| MIN @ CLE | 6:40 | CLE -148 | 8.5 | CLE 54.3% |
| PIT @ NYY | 7:05 | NYY -150 | 9 | NYY 54.6% |
| TB @ TOR | 7:07 | TB -115 | 7.5 | TB 54.1% |
| BAL @ BOS | 7:10 | BOS -140 | 8 | BOS 52.6% |
| SD @ ATL | 7:15 | ATL -145 | 8.5 | ATL 53.2% |
| NYM @ MIL | 7:40 | MIL -145 | 8.5 | MIL 53.8% |
| SF @ KC | 7:40 | SF -110 | 9.5 | SF 52.7% |
| CWS @ TEX | 8:05 | TEX -127 | 8.5 | TEX 50.5% |
| DET @ CHC | 8:05 | CHC -120 | 8.5 | DET 50.8% |
| MIA @ HOU | 8:10 | HOU -125 | 8.5 | HOU 50.5% |
| WSH @ COL | 8:40 | WSH -109 | 12.5 | WSH 53.0% |
| STL @ LAA | 9:38 | STL -110 | 9.5 | STL 53.6% |
| OAK @ ARI | 9:40 | ARI -136 | 9.5 | ARI 52.0% |
| CIN @ SEA | 9:40 | SEA -112 | 7.5 | CIN 52.6% |
Full slate, projections, and tonight's prop poll are below.
See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line
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