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Junior Caminero Outprojects Every Blue Jays Bat Tonight

Tampa Bay heads to Rogers Centre in the middle of a good week, with Toronto having dropped four straight and fading from the last AL Wild Card spot. The model likes the Rays to keep it going, giving them a real shot on the road tonight. And no one on either roster profiles better at the plate than Junior Caminero.

The Number
66.3%
The model's win probability for the Atlanta Braves tonight — its most confident call on the board.
Today's Slate

MLB · 5 games — Watch: Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 3:07 ET

Biggest Edge · Model vs. Market
Where our projection disagrees most with tonight's price: MIN @ CLE
Model — MIN win
47.1%
Price implies
45.0%
Player to Watch

MLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays · 3:07 ET

Rogers Centre · Market: TOR -110, total 8.5

Junior Caminero is projected for the most combined hits, runs and RBIs of anyone in this game, ahead of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Yandy Diaz and every other bat on either side. Toronto's lineup has gone quiet during the losing streak, and the projections don't see much changing tonight — only Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement sit anywhere near Tampa Bay's top three. Shane Bieber takes the ball for Toronto looking to snap the slide, but it's Caminero's bat, not either starter, carrying the most weight on this card.

TeamPitcherIPKR
TBSeymour5.04.52.0
TORBieber5.54.02.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
TBCaminero 2.0Diaz 1.9Aranda 1.7
TORGuerrero Jr. 1.8Clement 1.7Okamoto 1.5
Prop of the Day
Shane Bieber — outs
Optimal projection
16.6
Market line
16.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Shane Bieber outs — Over or Under 16.5 tonight?

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The Full Board

MLB — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
SD @ ATL12:15ATL -2608ATL 66.3%
MIN @ CLE1:10CLE -1457.5CLE 52.9%
TB @ TOR3:07TOR -1108.5TB 52.7%
ARI @ STL5:15STL -1207.5STL 50.3%
KC @ DET6:40DET -2088.5DET 62.3%
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Rogers Centre is the lone stop on tonight's board — enjoy the game.

See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line

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