Mookie Betts Projects as Tonight's Toughest Strikeout
Division races are tightening across both leagues as the summer stretch wears on, and the Dodgers are the model's second-biggest favorite on the entire board tonight, given roughly a 61% shot at Citi Field. Emmet Sheehan gets the ball for Los Angeles opposite Freddy Peralta, but the more interesting projection sits at the top of the Dodgers' order, where Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts pair the game's best bat with its toughest strikeout.
MLB · 15 games — Watch: Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets, 1:40 ET
Model — COL win 28.1% | Price implies 26.3% |
MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets · 1:40 ET
Citi Field · Market: LAD -160, total 9.5
Mookie Betts carries the lowest strikeout projection of anyone in tonight's game, batting right in front of Shohei Ohtani, who projects for the largest all-around offensive line on either roster. That combination — the toughest strikeout in the lineup setting the table for the game's top bat — gives Los Angeles a deep look at the top of the order in a game the Dodgers are favored to win outright behind Emmet Sheehan.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
Optimal projection 16.1 | Market line 15.5 |
Emmet Sheehan outs — Over or Under 15.5 tonight?
MLB — full slate
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE @ TB | 12:15 | TB -140 | 7.5 | TB 53.3% |
| ARI @ WSH | 1:35 | ARI -120 | 10 | ARI 55.2% |
| ATL @ BAL | 1:35 | BAL -108 | 8.5 | ATL 52.1% |
| CHC @ PIT | 1:35 | PIT -130 | 8.5 | PIT 51.4% |
| TOR @ BOS | 1:35 | BOS -142 | 8.5 | BOS 53.7% |
| KC @ DET | 1:40 | DET -190 | 9.5 | DET 60.0% |
| LAD @ NYM | 1:40 | LAD -160 | 9.5 | LAD 60.9% |
| SD @ MIA | 1:40 | MIA -125 | 8.5 | MIA 50.6% |
| HOU @ CWS | 2:10 | CWS -110 | 9.5 | HOU 52.2% |
| OAK @ MIN | 2:10 | MIN -140 | 9.5 | MIN 53.3% |
| COL @ MIL | 2:10 | MIL -350 | 7.5 | MIL 71.9% |
| CIN @ STL | 2:15 | STL -135 | 8.5 | STL 52.5% |
| SEA @ TEX | 2:35 | TEX -110 | 7.5 | SEA 52.2% |
| LAA @ SF | 4:05 | SF -115 | 7.5 | LAA 51.7% |
| NYY @ PHI | 7:20 | PHI -175 | 8.5 | PHI 57.9% |
Full slate and matchup breakdowns below.
See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line
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