Olivia Miles Projects to Out-Dish the Entire Floor

Tonight's board runs 16 MLB games deep alongside a five-game WNBA slate, and the sharpest signal on either sits in Minneapolis: the model has the Lynx near 88% to handle expansion Toronto at home. Down in Cincinnati, the Guardians and Reds play twice today, with the Reds favored at -160 in the opener and the total set at 9.5. The headliner tonight, though, is Lynx guard Olivia Miles, whose assist projection towers over everyone else on the floor.

The Number
88.0%
The model's win probability for the Minnesota Lynx tonight — its most confident call on the board.
Today's Slate

MLB · 16 games — Watch: Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds, 1:40 ET

WNBA · 5 games — Watch: Toronto Tempo at Minnesota Lynx, 8:00 ET

Biggest Edge · Model vs. Market
Where our projection disagrees most with tonight's price: SEA @ LAD
Model — SEA win
40.4%
Price implies
38.5%
Player to Watch

MLB · Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds · 1:40 ET

Great American Ball Park · Market: CIN -160, total 9.5

Chase Burns projects for the most strikeouts of any starter on the board tonight, comfortably ahead of Cleveland's Slade Cecconi, in a game Cincinnati is favored to win at home with the total sitting at 9.5. At the plate, Elly De La Cruz and Sal Stewart are running dead-even atop the Reds order, the tightest 1-2 punch on the slate, with every Cleveland bat projected behind them.

TeamPitcherIPKR
CLECecconi5.14.53.0
CINBurns5.56.02.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
CLERamirez 1.6DeLauter 1.5Kwan 1.4
CINDe La Cruz 1.9Stewart 1.9Bleday 1.7

WNBA · Toronto Tempo at Minnesota Lynx · 8:00 ET

Target Center · Market: MIN -14.5, total 185.5

Minnesota is a prohibitive favorite at home against an expansion Toronto club still finding its footing in its first season, and the clearest signal in the box score is at the point. Olivia Miles projects for more assists than anyone else on the floor, well clear of teammate Courtney Williams and every other facilitator in the game.

TeamPTSREBAST
TORMabrey 20.0Harrison 5.7Mabrey 3.1
MINCollier 18.9Collier 6.8Miles 6.7
Prop of the Day
Olivia Miles — assists
Optimal projection
6.7
Market line
7.0
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Olivia Miles assists — Over or Under 7.0 tonight?

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The Full Board

MLB — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
CLE @ CIN1:40CIN -1609.5CIN 55.9%
PHI @ MIA6:40MIA -1138.5PHI 51.8%
BAL @ DET6:40DET -1417.5DET 53.5%
ARI @ PIT6:40PIT -1159.5ARI 51.5%
TEX @ TB6:40TB -1808.5TB 58.8%
TOR @ WSH6:45WSH -1398.5WSH 53.3%
CLE @ CIN7:10CLE -1309.5CLE 56.7%
ATL @ NYM7:10ATL -1617.5ATL 62.2%
KC @ MIN7:40MIN -1609.5MIN 55.9%
NYY @ CWS7:40NYY -1358.5NYY 57.9%
CHC @ STL7:45CHC -1158.5CHC 53.9%
HOU @ LAA9:38HOU -1108.5HOU 53.0%
BOS @ OAK9:40BOS -1509.5BOS 60.5%
COL @ SD9:40SD -1918.5SD 59.8%
MIL @ SF9:45MIL -1507.5MIL 60.5%
SEA @ LAD10:10LAD -1869.5LAD 59.6%

WNBA — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
CONN @ WSH7:30WSH -6.5157.5WSH 67.1%
TOR @ MIN8:00MIN -14.5185.5MIN 88.0%
IND @ SEA9:30IND -9.5184.5IND 77.1%
POR @ LV10:00LV -11.5179.5LV 81.2%
NY @ LA10:00NY -4.5183.5NY 64.0%
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That's tonight's board. See you at first pitch.

See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line

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