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Boston arrives at Sutter Health Park red-hot and shopping at the deadline, a rare combination for a club that spent the spring searching for answers, and the model gives the Red Sox better than a 60% shot to keep it going against Oakland. It's the highest-scoring matchup on the board, and Willson Contreras projects for more combined hits, runs and RBIs than anyone else on the field, Boston or Oakland.
MLB · 16 games — Watch: Boston Red Sox at Athletics, 9:40 ET
WNBA · 2 games — Watch: Atlanta Dream at Dallas Wings, 8:00 ET
Model — BAL win 41.7% | Price implies 40.0% |
MLB · Boston Red Sox at Athletics · 9:40 ET
Sutter Health Park · Market: BOS -152, total 10.5
Contreras tops the projection sheet outright, ahead of Oakland's Jacob Wilson and every other hitter in the lineup card tonight. Patrick Sandoval and Jacob Lopez both project to miss enough bats to keep this from turning into batting practice, but Boston's deeper order is the difference-maker in the sport's highest total tonight.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
WNBA · Atlanta Dream at Dallas Wings · 8:00 ET
College Park Center · Market: DAL -1.5, total 181.5
Jordin Canada's playmaking projection towers over the rest of the floor tonight — nobody else in the building projects for even six assists. Angel Reese and Jessica Shepard, the primary bigs for each side, project for almost identical rebounding nights, evidence both teams will lean on their front lines. Dallas is fighting its way back into the playoff picture after several years on the outside, and every possession in a game this tight will matter.
WNBA · Golden State Valkyries at Phoenix Mercury · 10:00 ET
Mortgage Matchup Center · Market: GS -5.5, total 155.5
Alyssa Thomas is doing everything for Phoenix — she projects to lead everyone on the floor in both rebounding and playmaking, the closest thing to a triple-double threat on tonight's slate. Golden State counters with the league's stingiest defense, fresh off having a long winning streak snapped, and Kahleah Copper will need efficient scoring to keep pace.
Optimal projection 17.5 | Market line 17.5 |
Kahleah Copper points — Over or Under 18.5 tonight?
MLB — full slate
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ MIA | 12:10 | PHI -177 | 7.5 | PHI 64.4% |
| ARI @ PIT | 12:35 | PIT -132 | 8.5 | PIT 51.8% |
| TOR @ WSH | 1:05 | TOR -120 | 9.5 | TOR 55.4% |
| BAL @ DET | 1:10 | DET -175 | 7.5 | DET 58.3% |
| ATL @ NYM | 1:10 | ATL -125 | 8.5 | ATL 55.8% |
| MIL @ SF | 3:45 | MIL -123 | 7.5 | MIL 56.1% |
| COL @ SD | 4:10 | SD -145 | 8.5 | SD 53.9% |
| TEX @ TB | 6:40 | TB -141 | 7.5 | TB 53.3% |
| ATL @ NYM | 7:10 | ATL -160 | 7.5 | ATL 61.3% |
| CLE @ CIN | 7:10 | CLE -132 | 8.5 | CLE 57.5% |
| KC @ MIN | 7:40 | MIN -175 | 8.5 | MIN 58.5% |
| NYY @ CWS | 7:40 | NYY -148 | 7.5 | NYY 60.1% |
| CHC @ STL | 7:45 | CHC -120 | 7.5 | CHC 55.1% |
| HOU @ LAA | 9:38 | HOU -135 | 9.5 | HOU 58.0% |
| BOS @ OAK | 9:40 | BOS -152 | 10.5 | BOS 60.6% |
| SEA @ LAD | 10:10 | LAD -150 | 9.5 | LAD 54.5% |
WNBA — full slate
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ DAL | 8:00 | DAL -1.5 | 181.5 | DAL 50.1% |
| GS @ PHX | 10:00 | GS -5.5 | 155.5 | GS 65.3% |
That's tonight's board — see you tomorrow.
See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line
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