Marina Mabrey Projected to Outscore the Entire Lynx Roster

Tonight's biggest number isn't a team total — it's an individual one. Toronto's Marina Mabrey projects to outscore anyone in a Minnesota lineup that just got Napheesa Collier back, a gap sharp enough to anchor the featured prop. Ten MLB games round out the board, topped by a near coin-flip in Minneapolis where the Twins carry just a 52.8 percent edge over Kansas City.

The Number
82.9%
The model's win probability for the Minnesota Lynx tonight — its most confident call on the board.
Today's Slate

MLB · 10 games — Watch: Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins, 1:40 ET

WNBA · 3 games — Watch: Minnesota Lynx at Toronto Tempo, 8:00 ET

Biggest Edge · Model vs. Market
Where our projection disagrees most with tonight's price: SEA @ LAD
Model — SEA win
45.3%
Price implies
43.1%
Player to Watch

MLB · Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins · 1:40 ET

Target Field · Market: MIN -140, total 9.5

Kansas City's rookie slugger Jac Caglianone carries the highest combined hits, runs, and RBIs projection of anyone in the ballpark tonight, narrowly ahead of a tightly bunched Twins trio of Royce Lewis, Ryan Jeffers, and Josh Bell. Noah Cameron and Bailey Ober are lined up for nearly identical workloads on the mound, with Cameron projected for the extra strikeout of the two.

TeamPitcherIPKR
KCCameron5.54.53.0
MINOber5.23.93.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
KCCaglianone 1.9Jensen 1.7Perez 1.5
MINLewis 1.8Jeffers 1.8Bell 1.8

WNBA · Minnesota Lynx at Toronto Tempo · 8:00 ET

Scotiabank Arena · Market: MIN -11.5, total 188.5

Marina Mabrey is projected for more points tonight than anyone in a Minnesota lineup that just got Napheesa Collier back from injury — the widest scoring gap between the two teams' leading scorers. Toronto, still finding its footing as an expansion club, leans on Mabrey to carry the load against a Lynx group playing its best basketball of the season.

TeamPTSREBAST
MINCollier 18.6Collier 6.7Miles 7.1
TORMabrey 20.9Conde 4.8Allemand 5.6
Prop of the Day
Marina Mabrey — points
Optimal projection
20.9
Market line
21.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Marina Mabrey points — Over or Under 21.5 tonight?

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The Full Board

MLB — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
TEX @ TB12:10TB -1557.5TB 55.2%
KC @ MIN1:40MIN -1409.5MIN 52.9%
NYY @ CWS2:10CWS -1157.5NYY 51.6%
CHC @ STL2:15STL -1208.5CHC 50.7%
WSH @ ATL7:00ATL -1479.5ATL 53.7%
MIA @ NYM7:10NYM -1307.5NYM 51.2%
PIT @ CIN7:10PIT -1159.5PIT 54.6%
BOS @ OAK9:40BOS -16710.5BOS 63.2%
SF @ SD9:40SD -1298.5SD 50.6%
SEA @ LAD10:10LAD -1558.5LAD 54.7%

WNBA — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
CONN @ CHI8:00CHI -4.5177.5CHI 60.9%
MIN @ TOR8:00MIN -11.5188.5MIN 82.9%
NY @ LV10:00LV -5.5182.5LV 64.6%
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That's the board for tonight — full slate below.

See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line

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