Kelsey Mitchell Projects Ahead of Caitlin Clark Tonight

Indiana's Kelsey Mitchell is projected for just under 24 points against Chicago, edging teammate Caitlin Clark for the night's top scoring line even as Clark is projected to lead the game in assists. In Boston, Willson Contreras rates as the top offensive threat in a lopsided home date, with the Red Sox holding better than a two-in-three shot to beat Oakland at Fenway.

The Number
67.5%
The model's win probability for the Boston Red Sox — its most confident call on the board.
Today's Slate

MLB · 15 games — Watch: Athletics at Boston Red Sox, 4:10 ET

WNBA · 3 games — Watch: Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky, 3:30 ET

Biggest Edge · Model vs. Market
Where our projection disagrees most with the market price: BAL @ TEX
Model — BAL win
46.1%
Price implies
43.9%
Player to Watch

MLB · Athletics at Boston Red Sox · 4:10 ET

Fenway Park · Market: BOS -259, total 9.5

Willson Contreras carries the highest hits-runs-RBIs figure of anyone on the field tonight, a shade above Boston's own Wilyer Abreu and every Athletic in the lineup. Oakland's Gage Jump, working as a heavy road underdog, is actually projected for more strikeouts than Boston starter Jake Bennett — a live arm buried inside a game the market has all but decided.

TeamPitcherIPKR
OAKJump5.05.23.0
BOSBennett6.04.62.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
OAKWilson 1.5Bolte 1.3Soderstrom 1.3
BOSContreras 2.1Abreu 2.0Rafaela 1.9
 

WNBA · Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky · 3:30 ET

United Center · Market: IND -5.5, total 190.5

Kelsey Mitchell, not Caitlin Clark, is projected for the night's highest scoring output, with Clark right behind her and out front on assists for Indiana's backcourt. Chicago's answer is Sydney Taylor, projected as the Sky's top scorer, but even her number sits well below either Fever guard.

TeamPTSREBAST
INDMitchell 23.9Boston 8.9Clark 8.5
CHITaylor 17.1Cardoso 8.3Cloud 6.2
Props of the Day
MLB
Chris Sale — strikeouts
Optimal projection
7.5
Market line
7.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Chris Sale strikeouts — Over or Under 7.5 tonight?

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WNBA
A'ja Wilson — rebounds
Optimal projection
9.9
Market line
10.5
Fantasy Projections

The highest projected fantasy scorers on the board.

MLB

#PitchersPROJ
1Chris SaleATL22.2
2Gavin WilliamsCLE20.4
3Jacob deGromTEX19.5
4Chase BurnsCIN17.8
5Sandy AlcantaraMIA17.4
#HittersPROJ
1Trea TurnerPHI7.0
2Elly De La CruzCIN7.0
3Wilyer AbreuBOS6.8
4Kyle SchwarberPHI6.8
5Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC6.5
 

WNBA

#Top playsPROJ
1A'ja WilsonLV49.1
2Caitlin ClarkIND38.6
3Jackie YoungLV34.2
4Olivia MilesMIN32.7
5Napheesa CollierMIN32.6
The Full Board

MLB — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
ATL @ NYY3:05ATL -1387.5ATL 59.1%
OAK @ BOS4:10BOS -2599.5BOS 67.5%
LAA @ MIA4:10MIA -1547.5MIA 56.1%
TOR @ PHI6:05PHI -1559.5PHI 56.2%
NYM @ PIT6:40PIT -1358.5PIT 53.4%
CIN @ WSH6:45CIN -1408.5CIN 59.7%
MIN @ MIL7:10MIL -1507.5MIL 55.2%
CHC @ KC7:10CHC -1669.5CHC 63.7%
HOU @ SD7:15SD -1197.5HOU 50.3%
DET @ SF7:15DET -1088DET 53.4%
BAL @ TEX7:15TEX -1457.5TEX 53.9%
CLE @ CWS7:15CLE -1297.5CLE 57.7%
COL @ STL7:15STL -1558.5STL 56.2%
LAD @ ARI8:10LAD -1758.5LAD 64.2%
TB @ SEA9:50SEA -1157.5TB 50.8%

WNBA — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
LV @ MIN1:00MIN -4.5182.5MIN 64.1%
IND @ CHI3:30IND -5.5190.5IND 66.9%
SEA @ POR8:30POR -2.5181.5POR 52.4%
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See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line

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