Dominique Malonga's Two-Way Upside Highlights a Loaded WNBA Slate

Ten MLB games and two WNBA tip-offs make up tonight's board. The headline number belongs to Seattle, where Dominique Malonga is projected for nearly 19 points and closes in on 9 rebounds — a line nobody else in the Sky-Storm game approaches. Elsewhere, Philadelphia and St. Louis play about as even a game as the schedule offers, and Atlanta carries the board's most lopsided win probability behind Jordin Canada's assist numbers.

The Number
84.3%
The model's win probability for the Atlanta Dream — its most confident call on the board.
Today's Slate

MLB · 10 games — Watch: Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals, 7:45 ET

WNBA · 2 games — Watch: Toronto Tempo at Atlanta Dream, 8:00 ET

Biggest Edge · Model vs. Market
Where our projection disagrees most with the market price: KC @ LAD
Model — KC win
29.5%
Price implies
27.4%
Player to Watch

MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals · 7:45 ET

Busch Stadium · Market: PHI -105, total 9.5

Luis Arraez and Trea Turner are the only two hitters walking into Busch Stadium tonight with a real shot at a three-hit game — every other bat in both lineups tops out at two. It's a strong floor for a Phillies club arriving in the thick of a National League wild-card race that's as crowded as it's been in years.

TeamPitcherIPKR
PHIPainter5.03.03.0
STLDobbins5.13.02.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
PHITurner 1.9Arraez 1.9Schwarber 1.8
STLWalker 1.9Burleson 1.8Herrera 1.7
 

WNBA · Toronto Tempo at Atlanta Dream · 8:00 ET

Gateway Center · Market: ATL -13.5, total 187.5

Jordin Canada projects for the highest assist total on the floor tonight, with a ceiling that climbs into the low teens — nobody else in this game sniffs double-digit dimes. Atlanta's math backs it up: the Dream carry the largest win probability of any team on tonight's board.

TeamPTSREBAST
TORMabrey 16.3Morrow 6.4Allemand 6.6
ATLGray 17.9Reese 11.7Canada 7.9
 

WNBA · Chicago Sky at Seattle Storm · 10:00 ET

Climate Pledge Arena · Market: CHI -1, total 178.5

Dominique Malonga's two-way line towers over this game — she projects for more points than anyone on the floor, with a rebounding number to match, a combination nobody else here approaches. It's a strong showcase for a Storm team already eliminated from playoff contention this season, with little left to watch down the stretch beyond performances like hers.

TeamPTSREBAST
CHICardoso 14.1Cardoso 8.3Vandersloot 5.9
SEAMalonga 18.5Malonga 8.9Hiedeman 4.9
Props of the Day
MLB
Yandy Diaz — hits
Optimal projection
1.2
Market line
1.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

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WNBA
Jordin Canada — assists
Optimal projection
8.0
Market line
8.5
Fantasy Projections

The highest projected fantasy scorers on the board.

MLB

#PitchersPROJ
1Tarik SkubalLAD28.9
2Reid DetmersLAA18.1
3MacKenzie GoreTEX16.9
4Logan HendersonMIL15.1
5Trevor RogersBAL14.9
#HittersPROJ
1Gunnar HendersonBAL7.1
2Drake BaldwinATL7.0
3Jonathan ArandaTB6.5
4Jeremy PenaHOU6.5
5Yandy DiazTB5.8
 

WNBA

#Top playsPROJ
1Angel ReeseATL35.3
2Dominique MalongaSEA32.7
3Rhyne HowardATL27.9
4Kamilla CardosoCHI27.9
5Jordin CanadaATL26.2
The Full Board

MLB — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
BOS @ TOR7:07BOS -1678.5BOS 63.8%
NYM @ ATL7:15ATL -1488ATL 55.1%
BAL @ MIN7:40BAL -1147.5BAL 54.9%
PHI @ STL7:45PHI -1059.5PHI 52.5%
TEX @ LAA9:38TEX -1177.5TEX 55.2%
COL @ ARI9:40ARI -1788.5ARI 58.7%
TB @ OAK9:40TB -1569.5TB 61.7%
MIL @ SD9:40SD -1057.5MIL 53.7%
HOU @ SF9:45HOU -1538.5HOU 61.5%
KC @ LAD10:10LAD -3207.5LAD 70.5%

WNBA — full slate

MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
TOR @ ATL8:00ATL -13.5187.5ATL 84.3%
CHI @ SEA10:00CHI -1178.5CHI 50.2%
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That's tonight's board — see you back here tomorrow.

See you tomorrow. — The Morning Line

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