MLB · 14 games — Watch: Baltimore Orioles at Athletics, 4:05 ET
WNBA · 4 games — Watch: Minnesota Lynx at Atlanta Dream, 3:00 ET
Baltimore Orioles at Athletics · 4:05 ET
Sutter Health Park · Market: BAL -150, total 10
Chris Bassitt's strikeout total carries real range tonight — the model's ceiling for him touches seven punchouts, nearly double his most probable outcome. The total here is the highest on the board, and Pete Alonso projects as the most productive hitter in the game, clear of every other bat in either lineup.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack WheelerPHI | 19.5 |
| 2 | Tyler GlasnowLAD | 17.8 |
| 3 | Parker MessickCLE | 17.7 |
| 4 | Tyler MahleATL | 16.6 |
| 5 | Shota ImanagaCHC | 16.2 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle SchwarberPHI | 7.0 |
| 2 | Blaze AlexanderBAL | 6.9 |
| 3 | Jackson HollidayBAL | 6.5 |
| 4 | Gunnar HendersonBAL | 6.2 |
| 5 | Drake BaldwinATL | 6.1 |
Optimal projection 0.4 | Market line 0.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ WSH | 12:15 | MIA -112 | 9 | MIA 54.5% |
| COL @ ATL | 1:35 | ATL -226 | 8.5 | ATL 64.5% |
| BOS @ NYY | 1:35 | BOS -117 | 7.5 | BOS 55.2% |
| SEA @ TOR | 1:37 | SEA -135 | 7.5 | SEA 58.6% |
| SD @ TB | 1:40 | TB -165 | 7.5 | TB 57.9% |
| KC @ CLE | 1:40 | CLE -184 | 7.5 | CLE 60.5% |
| LAD @ DET | 1:40 | LAD -175 | 7.5 | LAD 64.0% |
| CWS @ MIN | 2:10 | MIN -118 | 8.5 | MIN 50.2% |
| TEX @ MIL | 2:10 | MIL -163 | 8.5 | MIL 57.4% |
| PIT @ STL | 2:15 | PIT -117 | 7.5 | PIT 55.1% |
| HOU @ NYM | 3:10 | NYM -120 | 8.5 | NYM 50.3% |
| BAL @ OAK | 4:05 | BAL -150 | 10 | BAL 61.1% |
| PHI @ LAA | 4:07 | PHI -189 | 7.5 | PHI 66.2% |
| CIN @ CHC | 7:20 | CHC -137 | 8.5 | CHC 53.5% |
Minnesota Lynx at Atlanta Dream · 3:00 ET
Gateway Center · Market: MIN -2.5, total 176.5
Angel Reese's rebounding ceiling stretches toward 19 boards tonight, a level no other player in this game approaches even on their best night. Napheesa Collier's assist numbers carry more range than her forward label suggests — the model gives her a real shot at clearing five dimes, more than double her usual playmaking load.
| # | Top plays | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angel ReeseATL | 36.3 |
| 2 | Jessica ShepardDAL | 36.1 |
| 3 | Paige BueckersDAL | 36.0 |
| 4 | Olivia MilesMIN | 33.1 |
| 5 | Napheesa CollierMIN | 30.1 |
Optimal projection 12.6 | Market line 12.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN @ ATL | 3:00 | MIN -2.5 | 176.5 | MIN 56.4% |
| LA @ SEA | 5:00 | LA -1.5 | 172.5 | LA 51.1% |
| GS @ POR | 7:00 | GS -5.5 | 158.5 | GS 64.8% |
| CONN @ DAL | 8:30 | DAL -13.5 | 166.5 | DAL 87.1% |
That's the board for today — see you back here tomorrow.
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