Today's Slate

MLB · 9 games — Watch: Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals, 7:40 ET

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Today on Underdog

MIA @ KC · 7:40 ET

Percentages are implied by Underdog's two-way prices, normalized to 100%.
To Win
MIA -118 · 51%49% · KC -105
  
Spread
MIA -1.5 +133 · 41%59% · KC +1.5 -170
  
Total
Higher 9.5 +108 · 46%54% · Lower 9.5 -134
  
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MLB
 
Game of the Day

Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals · 7:40 ET

Kauffman Stadium · Market: MIA -115, total 9.5

Miami and Kansas City carry the highest total on the board tonight, a 9.5 at Kauffman Stadium that points to a track meet. The model's real signal in this one belongs to Miami's Heriberto Hernandez — teammate Kyle Stowers projects for slightly more on a typical night, but Hernandez's ceiling outruns every hitter in the game, Marlins or Royals, with a real path toward six combined hits, runs and RBIs. If the Marlins' offense breaks the game open, Hernandez is the more likely engine than the names topping tonight's table.

TeamPitcherIPKR
MIAAlcantara6.13.76.0
KCWacha6.05.06.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
MIAStowers 1.9Hernandez 1.8Lopez 1.8
KCWitt Jr. 2.0Caglianone 1.8Jensen 1.7
Fantasy Projections
#PitchersPROJ
1Tarik SkubalLAD23.7
2Logan HendersonMIL16.1
3Kade AndersonSEA15.8
4Hunter BrownHOU14.7
5Jake BennettBOS13.9
#HittersPROJ
1Spencer HorwitzPIT5.8
2Roman AnthonyBOS5.0
3Bobby Witt Jr.KC5.0
4Jake MangumPIT3.9
5Jung Hoo LeeSF3.7
Prop of the Day
Bobby Witt Jr. — total bases
Optimal projection
1.7
Market line
1.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Bobby Witt Jr. total bases — Over or Under 1.5 tonight?

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The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
SF @ PIT12:35PIT -1628.5PIT 56.5%
TOR @ CLE1:10TOR -1107.5TOR 52.2%
CWS @ HOU2:10HOU -1598.5HOU 56.1%
MIL @ CHC7:15MIL -1138.5MIL 53.6%
BOS @ BAL7:15BOS -1348.5BOS 57.8%
MIA @ KC7:40MIA -1159.5MIA 54.6%
TB @ TEX8:05TB -1257.5TB 56.6%
OAK @ SEA9:40SEA -2067.5SEA 61.7%
STL @ LAD10:10LAD -3007.5LAD 69.3%

That's the board for today — see you back here tomorrow.

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