NFL · 1 game — Watch: San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams, 8:35 ET
MLB · 5 games — Watch: Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves, 12:15 ET
SF @ LAR · 8:35 ET
| SF +166 · 36% | 64% · LAR -205 |
| SF +3.5 -109 · 50% | 50% · LAR -3.5 -113 |
| Higher 48.5 +101 · 48% | 52% · Lower 48.5 -122 |
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams · 8:35 ET
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Market: LAR -3.5, total 48.5
No player in the NFL's first-ever regular season game on Australian soil carries more offensive equity than Puka Nacua — the model gives him a shot at north of 160 yards on his best days, a ceiling no other pass-catcher in the game approaches. Davante Adams and Mike Evans both project far more modestly by comparison, making Nacua's range the single biggest swing factor in today's opener.
| # | Quarterbacks | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin HerbertLAC | 21.0 |
| 2 | Joe BurrowCIN | 20.5 |
| 3 | Lamar JacksonBAL | 20.4 |
| 4 | Jalen HurtsPHI | 20.4 |
| 5 | Dak PrescottDAL | 20.0 |
| # | Flex | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsDET | 23.4 |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonATL | 20.9 |
| 3 | Christian McCaffreySF | 19.8 |
| 4 | Puka NacuaLAR | 19.4 |
| 5 | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | 19.0 |
Optimal projection 6.9 | Market line 7.0 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF @ LAR | 8:35 | LAR -3.5 | 48.5 | LAR 63.2% |
Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves · 12:15 ET
Truist Park · Market: ATL -117, total 8.5
Yandy Diaz projects for more combined hits, runs, and RBIs than anyone else on the field in Atlanta today, a notch above Junior Caminero and the rest of a Rays lineup built around contact. His edge comes even as Ronald Acuna Jr., who has energized the Braves' lineup since returning from injury, headlines the home side. On the mound, Tampa's Nick Martinez carries a modest strikeout edge over Atlanta's Martin Perez.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan GilbertSEA | 19.9 |
| 2 | Zack WheelerPHI | 19.7 |
| 3 | Jacob deGromTEX | 19.2 |
| 4 | Max FriedNYY | 16.7 |
| 5 | Jared JonesPIT | 16.6 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron JudgeNYY | 15.6 |
| 2 | Kyle SchwarberPHI | 14.8 |
| 3 | Yordan AlvarezHOU | 14.2 |
| 4 | Ben RiceNYY | 14.0 |
| 5 | Konnor GriffinPIT | 12.5 |
Optimal projection 6.5 | Market line 6.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB @ ATL | 12:15 | ATL -117 | 8.5 | TB 50.9% |
| HOU @ PHI | 1:05 | PHI -189 | 8.5 | PHI 59.6% |
| TEX @ SEA | 4:10 | SEA -129 | 6.5 | SEA 50.8% |
| COL @ NYY | 7:05 | NYY -316 | 8.5 | NYY 70.2% |
| PIT @ CWS | 7:40 | PIT -108 | 7.5 | PIT 53.4% |
The Champions League group stage rolls on with six matches today, Bayern Munich's opener against Bodo/Glimt among them, alongside continental ties in the Libertadores, Sudamericana, and Liga MX.
| Bodoe/Glimt · 4% | Draw · 6% | 90% · Bayern Munich |
Four matches at the US Open today — three on the women's side, headlined by Coco Gauff's semifinal against Elena Rybakina — plus one men's match closing out the day.
| Coco Gauff · 48% | 52% · Elena Rybakina |
Two FIBA Women's World Cup games today, including Germany-Belgium in group play as the tournament in Berlin builds toward its final week.
| Germany · 32% | 68% · Belgium |
That's today's board — history in Melbourne, a tightening AL East, and plenty more around the globe. See you back here tomorrow.
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