NFL · 13 games — Watch: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 ET
MLB · 15 games — Watch: Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals, 1:35 ET
TB @ CIN · 1:00 ET
| TB +167 · 36% | 64% · CIN -193 |
| TB +3.5 +100 · 49% | 51% · CIN -3.5 -113 |
| Higher 50.5 -105 · 49% | 51% · Lower 50.5 -118 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals · 1:00 ET
Paycor Stadium · Market: CIN -3.5, total 50.5
Ja'Marr Chase's ceiling separates him from everyone else on today's opening Sunday slate — the model's top-end projection for him climbs past 150 receiving yards, nearly 30 yards clear of Tee Higgins' own ceiling, the next-highest mark on either roster. Cincinnati is favored at home, but the receiving-yardage upside in this game runs almost entirely through Chase.
| # | Quarterbacks | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin HerbertLAC | 20.9 |
| 2 | Joe BurrowCIN | 20.7 |
| 3 | Lamar JacksonBAL | 20.6 |
| 4 | Jalen HurtsPHI | 20.5 |
| 5 | Dak PrescottDAL | 20.0 |
| # | Flex | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsDET | 23.5 |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonATL | 20.8 |
| 3 | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | 20.6 |
| 4 | Jonathan TaylorIND | 18.3 |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | 17.7 |
Optimal projection 86.0 | Market line 86.5 |
Ja'Marr Chase receiving yards — Over or Under 86.5?
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL @ IND | 1:00 | BAL -3 | 47.5 | BAL 61.4% |
| NYJ @ TEN | 1:00 | TEN -1.5 | 38.5 | TEN 50.8% |
| BUF @ HOU | 1:00 | BUF -1.5 | 44.5 | BUF 52.6% |
| NO @ DET | 1:00 | DET -7.5 | 49.5 | DET 71.9% |
| ATL @ PIT | 1:00 | PIT -6.5 | 40.5 | PIT 69.5% |
| CLE @ JAX | 1:00 | JAX -8.5 | 40.5 | JAX 76.7% |
| TB @ CIN | 1:00 | CIN -3.5 | 50.5 | CIN 62.8% |
| CHI @ CAR | 1:00 | CHI -2.5 | 47.5 | CHI 60.5% |
| GB @ MIN | 4:25 | MIN -1.5 | 46.5 | MIN 53.3% |
| ARI @ LAC | 4:25 | LAC -8.5 | 47.5 | LAC 77.8% |
| WAS @ PHI | 4:25 | PHI -5.5 | 44.5 | PHI 66.9% |
| MIA @ OAK | 4:25 | OAK -3.5 | 40.5 | OAK 59.0% |
| DAL @ NYG | 8:20 | DAL -2.5 | 48.5 | DAL 59.7% |
Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals · 1:35 ET
Nationals Park · Market: LAA +102, total 9.5
This is about as even as it gets on today's board — Washington's model win probability is a virtual coin flip. James Wood carries the highest ceiling of any bat in the ballpark: on his best-case night, the model has him nearing five and a half combined hits, runs and RBIs, a tick above Mike Trout's or Zach Neto's own ceilings in the same game.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan CeaseTOR | 24.1 |
| 2 | Cam SchlittlerNYY | 21.2 |
| 3 | Payton TolleBOS | 18.6 |
| 4 | Matthew BoydCHC | 16.9 |
| 5 | Freddy PeraltaTB | 16.8 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle SchwarberPHI | 14.3 |
| 2 | Cal RaleighSEA | 14.0 |
| 3 | James WoodWSH | 13.2 |
| 4 | Aaron JudgeNYY | 13.2 |
| 5 | Henry BolteOAK | 13.2 |
Optimal projection 1.2 | Market line 1.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL @ DET | 12:10 | DET -152 | 9 | DET 55.8% |
| LAA @ WSH | 1:35 | LAA +102 | 9.5 | WSH 50.1% |
| PHI @ ATL | 1:35 | ATL -130 | 9 | ATL 51.6% |
| NYM @ NYY | 1:35 | NYY -182 | 7.5 | NYY 58.9% |
| BAL @ TOR | 1:37 | TOR -150 | 7.5 | TOR 54.7% |
| HOU @ TB | 1:40 | TB -140 | 7.5 | TB 53.3% |
| LAD @ MIA | 1:40 | LAD -150 | 8.5 | LAD 60.0% |
| CLE @ MIN | 2:10 | MIN -132 | 7.5 | MIN 50.9% |
| CIN @ MIL | 2:10 | MIL -200 | 8 | MIL 60.1% |
| CWS @ STL | 2:15 | CWS -134 | 8.5 | CWS 57.4% |
| PIT @ CHC | 2:20 | CHC -143 | 6.5 | CHC 54.4% |
| KC @ BOS | 3:05 | BOS -182 | 7.5 | BOS 59.0% |
| SEA @ OAK | 4:05 | SEA -143 | 9.5 | SEA 59.2% |
| TEX @ ARI | 4:10 | ARI -140 | 8 | ARI 52.8% |
| SD @ SF | 7:20 | SD -130 | 7.5 | SD 56.6% |
Eight leagues are in action today across Europe and North America, and Barcelona's trip to Levante is the early-window headliner in La Liga.
| Levante · 6% | Draw · 10% | 84% · Barcelona |
Sixteen matches across two WTA events and the US Open cap the tennis slate, with Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton closing out the tournament in the men's final.
| Ben Shelton · 43% | 57% · Alexander Zverev |
Two games close out the FIBA Women's World Cup in Germany today, headlined by France taking on the USA.
| France · 28% | 72% · USA |
That's the board for today — see you back here tomorrow.
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