Today's Slate

NFL · 1 game — Watch: Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills, 8:15 ET

MLB · 9 games — Watch: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies, 3:10 ET

WNBA · 5 games — Watch: Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm, 10:00 ET

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Today on Underdog

DET @ BUF · 8:15 ET

Percentages are implied by Underdog's two-way prices, normalized to 100%.
To Win
DET +194 · 33%67% · BUF -233
  
Spread
DET +5.5 -118 · 51%49% · BUF -5.5 -105
  
Total
Higher 54.5 -118 · 51%49% · Lower 54.5 -105
  
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NFL
 
Game of the Day

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills · 8:15 ET

Highmark Stadium · Market: BUF -5.5, total 55.5

Detroit and Buffalo christen the Bills' new home at Highmark Stadium in the week's featured game, and Jahmyr Gibbs is the one to watch on either side of the ball. The model gives him a rushing ceiling higher than any other back or receiver on the field, and he adds enough work as a receiver that no one else in the game touches his combined yardage equity.

TeamPASSRUSHREC
DETGoff 261.1Gibbs 87.0St. Brown 79.6
BUFAllen 250.2Cook III 77.9Moore 61.9
Fantasy Projections
#QuarterbacksPROJ
1Josh AllenBUF26.2
2Lamar JacksonBAL21.1
3Dak PrescottDAL20.7
4Caleb WilliamsCHI20.2
5Brock PurdySF20.2
#FlexPROJ
1Jahmyr GibbsDET23.8
2Bijan RobinsonATL23.1
3Christian McCaffreySF21.7
4Puka NacuaLAR19.5
5Ashton JeantyOAK19.0
Prop of the Day
Amon-Ra St. Brown — receiving yards
Optimal projection
81.1
Market line
79.5
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Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yards — Over or Under 79.5?

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The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
DET @ BUF8:15BUF -5.555.5BUF 66.5%
MLB
 
Game of the Day

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies · 3:10 ET

Coors Field · Market: SD -169, total 10.5

Coors Field's thin air sends today's total well into double digits, and it's the kind of park where San Diego — still scrapping for the final NL Wild Card spot as the race tightens — needs its bats to show up. Fernando Tatis Jr. projects for more combined hits, runs and RBIs than anyone else in either lineup, giving him the widest margin for impact if the Padres are going to keep pace.

TeamPitcherIPKR
SDKing5.84.13.0
COLGordon5.03.53.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
SDTatis Jr. 2.8Machado 2.5Merrill 2.4
COLMcCarthy 1.9Goodman 1.8Rumfield 1.7
Fantasy Projections
#PitchersPROJ
1Drew RasmussenTB21.6
2Taj BradleyMIN19.4
3Sonny GrayBOS16.8
4Nolan McLeanNYM16.0
5Walbert UrenaLAA15.3
#HittersPROJ
1Fernando Tatis Jr.SD16.9
2Jackson MerrillSD14.3
3Yordan AlvarezHOU14.1
4Manny MachadoSD13.7
5Jackson ChourioMIL13.4
Prop of the Day
Fernando Tatis Jr. — hits
Optimal projection
1.5
Market line
1.5
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
MIL @ PIT12:35MIL -1459MIL 59.2%
LAD @ CIN12:40LAD -1709.5LAD 63.0%
OAK @ TB1:10TB -2757.5TB 68.3%
SD @ COL3:10SD -16910.5SD 62.9%
KC @ HOU7:15HOU -1489HOU 54.7%
PHI @ NYM7:15NYM -1338.5NYM 52.2%
DET @ CWS7:40CWS -1228.5CWS 50.1%
BOS @ TEX8:05BOS -1418BOS 58.9%
MIN @ LAA9:38MIN -1287.5MIN 57.0%
WNBA
 
Game of the Day

Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm · 10:00 ET

Climate Pledge Arena · Market: LV -9.5, total 178.5

A'ja Wilson remains this game's headline number, but Seattle rookie Dominique Malonga is keeping pace with her on the glass — the model has the two projected for almost identical rebounding numbers, a notable line for a rookie sharing the floor with a two-time MVP.

TeamPTSREBAST
LVWilson 25.5Wilson 9.3Gray 6.4
SEAMalonga 18.2Malonga 9.2Hiedeman 4.1
Fantasy Projections
#Top playsPROJ
1A'ja WilsonLV43.3
2Alyssa ThomasPHX39.3
3Jackie YoungLV37.9
4Angel ReeseATL36.1
5Shakira AustinWSH34.4
Prop of the Day
Rhyne Howard — three-pointers made
Optimal projection
3.2
Market line
3.0
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
CONN @ ATL7:30ATL -15.5174.5ATL 89.6%
LA @ DAL8:00DAL -8.5177.5DAL 73.4%
WSH @ CHI8:00WSH -1.5164.5WSH 53.5%
LV @ SEA10:00LV -9.5178.5LV 80.2%
PHX @ POR10:00PHX -1.5175.5PHX 57.4%

Also on Deck
College Football

Today's only college game pits a Pittsburgh team chasing a 3-0 start against a Syracuse squad trying to bounce back from last week's loss to Cal.

College Football · Week 3 · FBS · 7:30 PM ET
Syracuse · 22%78% · Pittsburgh
  
Soccer

Fourteen matches across five competitions fill out the soccer board today, led by a La Liga clash between Real Betis and Getafe as the Europa League's expanded league phase adds nine games of its own.

La Liga · 1:00 PM ET
Getafe · 14%Draw · 25%61% · Real Betis
   
Tennis

With the US Open now in the rearview, the tour shifts to the smaller stages of Sao Paulo and Guadalajara, which combine for a dozen matches today, headlined by a Guadalajara quarterfinal.

WTA Guadalajara · Quarterfinal · Best of 3 · 3:00 PM ET
Cristina Bucsa · 36%64% · Sara Bejlek
  

That's today's board — see you back here tomorrow.

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