MLB · 15 games — Watch: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds, 6:40 ET
WNBA · 3 games — Watch: Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo, 7:30 ET
SEA @ COL · 8:10 ET
| SEA -182 · 62% | 38% · COL +152 |
| SEA -1.5 -117 · 51% | 49% · COL +1.5 -104 |
| Higher 10.5 -108 · 50% | 50% · Lower 10.5 -112 |
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds · 6:40 ET
Great American Ball Park · Market: CHC -129, total 8.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong, in the middle of an MVP-caliber stretch that has the Cubs holding onto the National League's top wild-card spot, is the one hitter in this game the model pulls away from the rest of both lineups — no one else on either side projects within reach of his ceiling today. On the mound, Clay Holmes is ticketed to work well into the Cincinnati order, while Chase Burns' outing is projected to end considerably sooner — a workload gap that says as much about how this game plays out as either lineup does.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| Team | #1 | #2 | #3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | Crow-Armstrong 2.0 | Suzuki 1.6 | Bregman 1.6 |
| CIN | De La Cruz 1.6 | Stewart 1.6 | Stephenson 1.3 |
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler GlasnowLAD | 21.4 |
| 2 | Dylan CeaseTOR | 21.0 |
| 3 | Ian SeymourTB | 18.7 |
| 4 | Cade CavalliWSH | 18.7 |
| 5 | Dustin MayMIL | 18.1 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC | 15.8 |
| 2 | James WoodWSH | 13.1 |
| 3 | Yordan AlvarezHOU | 12.8 |
| 4 | Jackson ChourioMIL | 12.8 |
| 5 | Cal RaleighSEA | 12.6 |
Optimal projection 6.9 | Market line 7.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC @ CIN | 6:40 | CHC -129 | 8.5 | CHC 56.9% |
| KC @ PIT | 6:40 | PIT -190 | 7.5 | PIT 59.7% |
| MIL @ BAL | 7:05 | MIL -140 | 8.5 | MIL 59.0% |
| PHI @ NYM | 7:10 | NYM -118 | 8.5 | PHI 51.4% |
| BOS @ TB | 7:10 | TB -125 | 7.5 | TB 50.4% |
| OAK @ CLE | 7:10 | CLE -195 | 8.5 | CLE 60.7% |
| DET @ CWS | 7:40 | CWS -130 | 8.5 | CWS 51.5% |
| TOR @ TEX | 8:05 | TOR -140 | 7.5 | TOR 58.4% |
| SEA @ COL | 8:10 | SEA -185 | 10.5 | SEA 65.4% |
| ATL @ HOU | 8:10 | ATL -120 | 8.5 | ATL 55.5% |
| WSH @ STL | 8:15 | STL -114 | 7.5 | WSH 52.1% |
| MIN @ LAA | 9:38 | MIN -125 | 8.5 | MIN 55.9% |
| MIA @ SD | 9:40 | SD -200 | 7.5 | SD 60.8% |
| NYY @ ARI | 9:40 | NYY -130 | 7.5 | NYY 56.9% |
| SF @ LAD | 10:10 | LAD -300 | 8 | LAD 69.6% |
Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo · 7:30 ET
Coca-Cola Coliseum · Market: TOR -1.5, total 188.5
Indiana has already locked up its playoff spot and is chasing a season sweep of a Toronto team now playing without two of its top scorers for the rest of the year. Kelsey Mitchell, closing in on the WNBA's single-season scoring record, actually carries a higher point projection in this one than Caitlin Clark — it's Clark's playmaking that stands apart, with an assist projection more than double anyone else on the floor.
| # | Top plays | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caitlin ClarkIND | 42.6 |
| 2 | Olivia MilesMIN | 35.2 |
| 3 | Breanna StewartNY | 35.0 |
| 4 | Kelsey MitchellIND | 33.3 |
| 5 | Aliyah BostonIND | 33.1 |
Optimal projection 9.0 | Market line 9.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY @ MIN | 7:30 | MIN -7.5 | 176.5 | MIN 68.7% |
| IND @ TOR | 7:30 | TOR -1.5 | 188.5 | IND 87.4% |
| POR @ GS | 10:00 | GS -13.5 | 166.5 | GS 83.9% |
Biltmore Championship Asheville
Max Greyserman built his overnight lead in an unusual setting: the Biltmore Championship's mountain layout outside Asheville is hosting the PGA Tour for the first time since 1942, a Jack Nicklaus design expected to reward accuracy over raw length all week. Most of the field's headline names are here to tune up for next week's Presidents Cup, which makes Greyserman — not among that group — the more interesting name sitting atop the board after one round.
| POS | Player | TOT | R1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Greyserman | -7 | 64 |
| T2 | Eric Cole | -6 | 64 |
| T2 | Mackenzie Hughes | -6 | 65 |
| T2 | Chris Kirk | -6 | 65 |
| T2 | Ben Kohles | -6 | 65 |
| T2 | Peter Malnati | -6 | 65 |
| T2 | Seamus Power | -6 | 66 |
| T2 | Neal Shipley | -6 | 65 |
| T2 | Jackson Suber | -6 | 65 |
| T10 | Jacob Bridgeman | -5 | 66 |
Driving dist 320.1 yds Johnny Keefer | Fairways hit 100% Joel Dahmen |
Three games on today's college slate, capped by a matchup of unbeaten ACC teams: Miami, fresh off consecutive blowout wins, visits a Wake Forest side that's found its own answer at quarterback in transfer Gio Lopez.
| Wake Forest · 8% | 92% · Miami (FL) |
Nine matches across eight leagues today, headlined by a west London derby where Chelsea travel to Brentford already down key contributors to injury.
| Draw · 25% | Brentford · 37% | 38% · Chelsea |
Twelve matches across four WTA events today, with the day's headline quarterfinal in Sao Paulo pitting Teodora Kostovic against Kaitlin Quevedo.
| Teodora Kostovic · 43% | 57% · Kaitlin Quevedo |
That's the board for today — we'll see you back here tomorrow.
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