NFL · 1 game — Watch: Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers, 8:15 ET
MLB · 12 games — Watch: Houston Astros at Athletics, 9:40 ET
WNBA · 5 games — Watch: Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury, 10:00 ET
ATL @ GB · 8:15 ET
| ATL +208 · 31% | 69% · GB -250 |
| ATL +5.5 -121 · 52% | 48% · GB -5.5 +101 |
| Higher 43.5 +101 · 48% | 52% · Lower 43.5 -121 |
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers · 8:15 ET
Lambeau Field · Market: GB -5.5, total 43.5
Michael Penix Jr. makes his 2026 debut Thursday night, his first game back since tearing his ACL last November, and the model gives him real ceiling if Atlanta's offense finds its rhythm early. On the ground, Bijan Robinson is projected as the clear workhorse of this game, well ahead of anything Green Bay's backfield committee offers. The Packers, fresh off an overtime escape against the Jets, can set the NFL record for consecutive home-opener wins with one more Thursday.
| # | Quarterbacks | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenBUF | 25.9 |
| 2 | Lamar JacksonBAL | 24.0 |
| 3 | Brock PurdySF | 21.6 |
| 4 | Patrick MahomesKC | 20.5 |
| 5 | Dak PrescottDAL | 20.5 |
| # | Flex | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsDET | 24.3 |
| 2 | Bijan RobinsonATL | 22.3 |
| 3 | Christian McCaffreySF | 21.1 |
| 4 | Kenneth Walker IIIKC | 21.1 |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | 19.6 |
Optimal projection 71.5 | Market line 69.5 |
Christian Watson receiving yards — Over or Under 69.5?
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ GB | 8:15 | GB -5.5 | 43.5 | GB 66.4% |
Houston Astros at Athletics · 9:40 ET
Sutter Health Park · Market: HOU -162, total 10.5
The model's own number for tonight's game sits well above the posted total, the latest sign that Sutter Health Park keeps playing small for both lineups. Yordan Alvarez remains Houston's headliner, and it's his ceiling that stands out here — on his best nights, the model has him climbing well past a double in the combined hits-runs-RBIs column, clear of anyone else in either lineup.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan WooSEA | 21.0 |
| 2 | Tyler GlasnowLAD | 20.8 |
| 3 | Cam SchlittlerNYY | 19.4 |
| 4 | Paul SkenesPIT | 18.7 |
| 5 | Tyler MahleATL | 17.9 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yordan AlvarezHOU | 16.1 |
| 2 | Corbin CarrollARI | 15.1 |
| 3 | Shea LangeliersOAK | 14.3 |
| 4 | Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC | 14.0 |
| 5 | Ketel MarteARI | 13.6 |
Optimal projection 2.1 | Market line 1.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL @ PIT | 12:35 | PIT -160 | 6.5 | PIT 56.5% |
| CWS @ KC | 2:10 | CWS -125 | 8.5 | CWS 56.6% |
| MIA @ CHC | 2:20 | CHC -204 | 7.5 | CHC 61.8% |
| NYM @ TEX | 2:35 | TEX -130 | 8.5 | TEX 51.4% |
| ARI @ COL | 3:10 | ARI -190 | 10 | ARI 65.6% |
| MIL @ PHI | 6:05 | PHI -118 | 8.5 | MIL 50.5% |
| CLE @ BOS | 6:45 | BOS -138 | 7.5 | BOS 53.1% |
| TB @ NYY | 7:05 | NYY -150 | 6.5 | NYY 55.0% |
| CIN @ ATL | 7:15 | ATL -215 | 7.5 | ATL 63.4% |
| HOU @ OAK | 9:40 | HOU -162 | 10.5 | HOU 62.1% |
| LAA @ SEA | 9:40 | SEA -200 | 7.5 | SEA 61.4% |
| SD @ LAD | 10:10 | LAD -175 | 7.5 | LAD 58.5% |
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury · 10:00 ET
Mortgage Matchup Center · Market: LV -9.5, total 175.5
This regular-season finale doubles as an echo of last October's Finals, when the Aces swept this same Mercury team for the title, and Las Vegas enters as the heavy favorite on the strength of a lineup still built around A'ja Wilson. The name to watch on the other side is Alyssa Thomas, projected for double-figure scoring to go with a near-even mix of boards and dimes — a rare stat-sheet-stuffing profile for a starting forward.
| # | Top plays | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A'ja WilsonLV | 40.7 |
| 2 | Caitlin ClarkIND | 40.6 |
| 3 | Alyssa ThomasPHX | 39.7 |
| 4 | Jackie YoungLV | 36.6 |
| 5 | Shakira AustinWSH | 28.8 |
Optimal projection 3.1 | Market line 3.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR @ CONN | 7:00 | CONN -1.5 | 168.5 | CONN 54.1% |
| CHI @ WSH | 7:30 | WSH -13.5 | 168 | WSH 84.7% |
| IND @ MIN | 8:00 | IND -2.5 | 183.5 | IND 59.3% |
| LV @ PHX | 10:00 | LV -9.5 | 175.5 | LV 78.6% |
| GS @ LA | 10:00 | GS -11.5 | 159.5 | GS 82.9% |
Presidents Cup · Medinah Country Club (No. 3)
September 24–27
The Presidents Cup begins at Medinah's newly reworked Course No. 3, with the United States looking to extend a run that's produced ten straight wins in the event and thirteen of the last fifteen overall. The International side counters with reigning Open champion Ryan Fox making his Presidents Cup debut, part of a roster mixing established names with fresh talent under captain Geoff Ogilvy. Round 1 gets underway Thursday, with three more days of match play through Sunday.
It's a one-game slate on the college football side tonight, but it's a loaded one — Liberty heads to Coastal Carolina to reignite an old Big South rivalry, with former Chanticleers coach Jamey Chadwell returning to Conway on the other sideline.
| Coastal Carolina · 44% | 56% · Liberty |
Four tournaments split today's tennis card — Singapore carries the heaviest load with three matches, Seoul has two, and Chengdu and Hangzhou each get one, headlined by Cerundolo's clash with Zhou.
| Yi Zhou · 33% | 67% · Juan Manuel Cerundolo |
EuroLeague fills out the day's basketball card with seven games, top-billed by Real Madrid's trip to Dubai Basketball.
| Real Madrid · 44% | 56% · Dubai Basketball |
That's the board for today — see you back here tomorrow.
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