MLB · 4 games — Watch: Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros, 5:00 ET
NHL · 5 games — Watch: Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes, 5:00 ET
WNBA · 2 games — Watch: Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever, 6:30 ET
CWS @ HOU · 5:00 ET
| CWS +105 · 47% | 53% · HOU -127 |
| CWS +1.5 -193 · 63% | 37% · HOU -1.5 +159 |
| Higher 8.5 +105 · 47% | 53% · Lower 8.5 -127 |
Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros · 5:00 ET
Daikin Park · Market: HOU -125, total 8.5
The wild-card round begins today, and Chicago's trip to Houston sets one of the season's surprise teams against an Astros club that only locked up the AL West on the final day of the regular season. The projection sheet leans on relievers rather than traditional starters: AJ Blubaugh is projected to outwork Hagen Smith, and his ceiling is close to nine outs, roughly one night in ten.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris SaleATL | 22.6 |
| 2 | Cam SchlittlerNYY | 22.2 |
| 3 | Payton TolleBOS | 20.1 |
| 4 | Michael KingSD | 14.6 |
| 5 | Matthew BoydCHC | 12.1 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC | 10.1 |
| 2 | Fernando Tatis Jr.SD | 9.9 |
| 3 | Yordan AlvarezHOU | 9.3 |
| 4 | Ronald Acuna Jr.ATL | 9.3 |
| 5 | Miguel VargasCWS | 9.1 |
Optimal projection 1.2 | Market line 1.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ ATL | 2:00 | ATL -193 | 6.5 | ATL 60.5% |
| CWS @ HOU | 5:00 | HOU -125 | 8.5 | HOU 51.2% |
| BOS @ NYY | 8:00 | NYY -137 | 6.5 | NYY 52.7% |
| CHC @ SD | 10:00 | SD -125 | 7.5 | SD 50.8% |
Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes · 5:00 ET
Lenovo Center · Market: CAR -125, total 6.5
Carolina raises its 2026 Stanley Cup banner before hosting Florida in the season opener. Brady Tkachuk is the one skater on either side projected to out-shoot everybody else in the building, and his ceiling is five shots, roughly one night in ten, so Florida's best chance of spoiling the ceremony runs through him.
| Team | PTS | SOG | Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Barkov 1.0 | Tkachuk 3.0 | — |
| CAR | Svechnikov 1.0 | Svechnikov 2.0 | — |
| # | Goalies | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob MarkstromFLA | 6.8 |
| 2 | Kevin LankinenVAN | 6.7 |
| 3 | Jakub DobesMTL | 6.5 |
| 4 | Sergei BobrovskyTOR | 6.4 |
| 5 | Carter HartVGK | 6.2 |
| # | Skaters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connor McDavidEDM | 16.2 |
| 2 | Leon DraisaitlEDM | 14.0 |
| 3 | Evan BouchardEDM | 12.5 |
| 4 | David PastrnakBOS | 11.8 |
| 5 | Jack EichelVGK | 11.8 |
Optimal projection 0.6 | Market line 0.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA @ CAR | 5:00 | CAR -125 | 6.5 | CAR 52.8% |
| MTL @ TOR | 7:00 | TOR -108 | 6.5 | MTL 51.0% |
| NYR @ BOS | 8:00 | BOS -113 | 5.5 | NYR 50.5% |
| VAN @ EDM | 10:00 | EDM -295 | 6.5 | EDM 71.6% |
| CHI @ VGK | 10:30 | VGK -258 | 5.5 | VGK 68.4% |
Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever · 6:30 ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Market: IND -1.5, total 188.5
Las Vegas took Game 1, so Indiana needs this one at home to send the series back to Las Vegas for a decider. A'ja Wilson is projected as both the top scorer and the top rebounder on the floor. On the Fever side, Kelsey Mitchell rather than Caitlin Clark is the top-projected scorer, while Clark's value comes as a passer: even her floor is above four assists.
| # | Top plays | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A'ja WilsonLV | 47.5 |
| 2 | Caitlin ClarkIND | 43.5 |
| 3 | Breanna StewartNY | 40.9 |
| 4 | Jackie YoungLV | 37.5 |
| 5 | Olivia MilesMIN | 33.9 |
Optimal projection 28.2 | Market line 28.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV @ IND | 6:30 | IND -1.5 | 188.5 | IND 51.1% |
| MIN @ NY | 8:30 | NY -1.5 | 172.5 | MIN 59.7% |
Five fights on today's Dana White's Contender Series card, the UFC's proving ground for new contracts, with a heavyweight bout among them that the market has already leaned hard one way.
| Adama Diop · 25% | 75% · Zaurbek Sabanov |
Eighteen matches across three events today: thirteen in the WTA's Beijing draw, four in Tokyo and one more on the ATP side in Beijing.
| Zizou Bergs · 29% | 71% · Jiri Lehecka |
EuroLeague has eight games scheduled today, and one of them sends Barcelona all the way to Dubai.
| FC Barcelona · 27% | 73% · Dubai Basketball |
That's today's board — see you back here tomorrow.
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