Today's Slate

NHL · 5 games — Watch: Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes, 7:00 ET

WNBA · 3 games — Watch: Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries, 9:00 ET

NHL
 
Game of the Day

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes · 7:00 ET

Lenovo Center · Market: CAR -145, total 6.5

Win probability
Washington Capitals · 44%56% · Carolina Hurricanes
  

Carolina's offense runs through four names: Aho, Ehlers, Blake and Svechnikov are the only Hurricanes projected for a point, and each carries a ceiling of two. Washington has no skater the model expects to hit the scoresheet, which leaves Ovechkin's shot volume as the Capitals' most dependable route to making noise.

TeamPTSSOGBlocks
WSHOvechkin 0.0Ovechkin 3.0Fehervary 2.0
CARSvechnikov 1.0Svechnikov 2.0Slavin 2.0
Fantasy Projections
#GoaliesPROJ
1Jake OettingerDAL7.5
2Logan ThompsonWSH7.4
#SkatersPROJ
1Jack EichelVGK13.0
2Miro HeiskanenDAL12.4
3Alex DeBrincatDET12.2
4David PastrnakBOS12.2
5Jason RobertsonDAL12.2
Prop of the Day
Alex DeBrincat — shots on goal
Optimal projection
3.5
Market line
3.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Alex DeBrincat shots on goal — Over or Under 3.5?

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The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
NYR @ DET6:30DET -1305.5DET 53.3%
WSH @ CAR7:00CAR -1456.5CAR 55.7%
BOS @ WPG8:00WPG -1245.5WPG 52.0%
STL @ DAL9:00DAL -1856DAL 61.3%
ANA @ VGK10:00VGK -1886.5VGK 62.2%
WNBA
 
Game of the Day

Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries · 9:00 ET

Chase Center · Market: GS -8.5, total 159.5

Win probability
Dallas Wings · 27%73% · Golden State Valkyries
  

Game 2 went to overtime on Arike Ogunbowale's playoff-record 45 and Gabby Williams' 36, and now the series comes down to one night at Chase Center. The quieter lever is Jessica Shepard: the model has her producing across points, rebounds and assists at once, and her rebound floor is the highest of anyone on either roster.

TeamPTSREBAST
DALBueckers 19.0Shepard 10.1Shepard 4.9
GSWilliams 19.5Stokes 6.1Burton 6.2
Fantasy Projections
#Top playsPROJ
1Paige BueckersDAL32.1
2Gabby WilliamsGS31.3
3Jessica ShepardDAL30.8
4Veronica BurtonGS27.7
5Arike OgunbowaleDAL25.1
Prop of the Day
Veronica Burton — assists
Optimal projection
6.2
Market line
6.0
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
DAL @ GSIn progress———
WSH @ ATLIn progress———
DAL @ GS9:00GS -8.5159.5GS 72.6%
Also on Deck
College Football

Four college football games on the day, and the marquee one is an all-ACC meeting at Lane Stadium between two unbeaten teams, Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech.

College Football · Week 5 · FBS · 7:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh · 44%56% · Virginia Tech
  
Tennis

Eight matches across Beijing and Tokyo, with Djokovic opening the Beijing round of 16 on Diamond Court against home favorite Yunchaokete Bu before most of the country is at work.

ATP Beijing · Round Of 16 · Best of 3 · 8:30 AM ET
Yunchaokete Bu · 23%77% · Novak Djokovic
  
Boxing

Seven fights on the boxing board, led by Omari Jones against Alan Sanchez in an eight-round super welterweight bout in Orlando.

Boxing · 6:00 PM ET
Sanchez A. · 7%93% · Omari Jones
  

That's today's board — see you back here tomorrow.

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