NFL · 1 game — Watch: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, 8:15 ET
MLB · 2 games — Watch: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians, 5:00 ET
NHL · 4 games — Watch: Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins, 7:30 ET
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints · 8:15 ET
Caesars Superdome · Market: NO -2.5, total 47.5
| Atlanta Falcons · 47% | 53% · New Orleans Saints |
Two NFC South teams at 1-2 each, and the model's biggest outlier is on the Atlanta side: Bijan Robinson is the only player in the game projected to matter on the ground and through the air at once, with a rushing floor that most of the field never reaches at its median. For New Orleans, Chris Olave is the one receiver on either roster the model sees clearing the same neighborhood as Drake London, which makes the wideout matchup the other place this one can be decided.
| # | Quarterbacks | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler ShoughNO | 22.6 |
| 2 | Michael Penix Jr.ATL | 15.8 |
| # | Flex | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan RobinsonATL | 25.4 |
| 2 | Chris OlaveNO | 19.6 |
| 3 | Drake LondonATL | 17.4 |
| 4 | Alvin KamaraNO | 13.5 |
| 5 | Devaughn VeleNO | 11.8 |
Optimal projection 92.0 | Market line 85.5 |
Chris Olave receiving yards — Over or Under 85.5?
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ NO | 8:15 | NO -2.5 | 47.5 | NO 52.5% |
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians · 5:00 ET
Progressive Field · Market: CLE -155, total 6.5
| Chicago White Sox · 45% | 55% · Cleveland Guardians |
Chicago leads the series after Game 1, and Cleveland's answer starts with Gavin Williams. The model has him working deep into the start and piling up strikeouts, with a ceiling above eleven on his best nights, which would make him the one pitcher in the game with a realistic path to dominate it. On the other side, Chicago's lineup is a deep, evenly rated group with no single hitter the model leans on.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam SchlittlerNYY | 22.4 |
| 2 | Gavin WilliamsCLE | 21.9 |
| 3 | Freddy PeraltaTB | 15.1 |
| 4 | Anthony KayCWS | 4.5 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose RamirezCLE | 9.8 |
| 2 | Cody BellingerNYY | 8.7 |
| 3 | Miguel VargasCWS | 8.6 |
| 4 | Chase DeLauterCLE | 8.5 |
| 5 | Yandy DiazTB | 8.5 |
Optimal projection 1.1 | Market line 0.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS @ CLE | 5:00 | CLE -155 | 6.5 | CLE 55.4% |
| NYY @ TB | 8:00 | NYY -128 | 6.5 | NYY 56.9% |
Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins · 7:30 ET
PPG Paints Arena · Market: PIT -175, total 6.5
| Winnipeg Jets · 40% | 60% · Pittsburgh Penguins |
Pittsburgh's offense has opened the season loudly, and Sidney Crosby is the center of it: projected for a point and three shots, with a ceiling of three points. Winnipeg's counter is on the wing, where Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele are the only Jets projected above a single point.
| # | Skaters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikita KucherovTBL | 14.3 |
| 2 | David PastrnakBOS | 13.0 |
| 3 | Macklin CelebriniSJS | 13.0 |
| 4 | Sidney CrosbyPIT | 12.5 |
| 5 | Jason RobertsonDAL | 12.2 |
Optimal projection 1.5 | Market line 1.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ TBL | 7:00 | TBL -205 | 5.5 | TBL 64.0% |
| WPG @ PIT | 7:30 | PIT -175 | 6.5 | PIT 60.1% |
| OTT @ BOS | 7:30 | OTT -117 | 5.5 | OTT 52.4% |
| SJS @ DAL | 8:00 | DAL -170 | 6.5 | DAL 59.3% |
Three matches on the tennis board across ATP Shanghai and WTA Beijing, led by third seed Coco Gauff against a 16-year-old wildcard who is the reigning junior US Open champion.
| Xinran Sun · 8% | 92% · Coco Gauff |
That's today's board — see you back here tomorrow.
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