Today's Slate

MLB · 2 games — Watch: Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres, 9:30 ET

NHL · 9 games — Watch: Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres, 7:00 ET

MLB
 
Game of the Day

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres · 9:30 ET

Petco Park · Market: SD -132, total 7.5

Win probability
Milwaukee Brewers · 48%52% · San Diego Padres
  

Fernando Tatis Jr. is the only hitter on either side with a realistic path to a three-hit night, and he is projected to out-produce everyone around him. On the mound, Nick Pivetta carries the longer leash: a higher strikeout projection than Dustin May, and the only ceiling in this game that clears six.

TeamPitcherIPKR
MILMay3.03.01.0
SDPivetta3.54.01.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
MILChourio 1.5Contreras 1.3Turang 1.2
SDTatis Jr. 1.8Machado 1.5Merrill 1.4
Fantasy Projections
#PitchersPROJ
1Chris SaleATL21.4
2Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD19.7
3Nick PivettaSD10.8
4Dustin MayMIL7.8
#HittersPROJ
1Fernando Tatis Jr.SD9.9
2Jackson ChourioMIL9.1
3Ronald Acuna Jr.ATL8.8
4Shohei OhtaniLAD8.8
5Brice TurangMIL8.5
Prop of the Day
Fernando Tatis Jr. — home runs
Optimal projection
0.2
Market line
0.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Fernando Tatis Jr. home runs — Over or Under 0.5?

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The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
LAD @ ATL6:00ATL -1076.5LAD 53.4%
MIL @ SD9:30SD -1327.5SD 51.8%
NHL
 
Game of the Day

Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres · 7:00 ET

KeyBank Center · Market: BUF -108, total 6.5

Win probability
Buffalo Sabres · 49%51% · Minnesota Wild
  

Kirill Kaprizov is the only skater on either side with a ceiling of three points. Buffalo's counter is Tage Thompson, projected for as many shots as any skater on the ice.

TeamPTSSOGBlocks
MINEriksson Ek 1.0Eriksson Ek 3.0Brodin 2.0
BUFDahlin 1.0Thompson 3.0Samuelsson 2.0
Fantasy Projections
#SkatersPROJ
1Jack HughesNJD13.4
2Jack EichelVGK13.3
3Auston MatthewsTOR12.6
4Artemi PanarinLAK12.5
5Kirill KaprizovMIN12.2
Prop of the Day
Jack Hughes — goals
Optimal projection
0.5
Market line
0.5
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
NSH @ TOR7:00TOR -1545.5TOR 57.0%
MIN @ BUF7:00BUF -1086.5MIN 51.4%
UTAH @ NJD7:00NJD -1306.5NJD 52.9%
OTT @ DET7:00OTT -1125.5OTT 51.7%
CAR @ MTL7:00CAR -1196.5CAR 53.2%
NYI @ NYR7:30NYR -1505.5NYR 55.8%
STL @ CHI8:00CHI +1225.5STL 56.4%
VGK @ SEA9:00VGK -1726.5VGK 61.1%
FLA @ LAK10:00LAK +1026FLA 53.1%
Also on Deck
UFC

Five fights on today's UFC card, with the bantamweight bout between Summer Onley and Alivia Bierley the one the market has already leaned on.

UFC · Bantamweight · 3 rounds · 8:20 PM ET
Alivia Bierley · 36%64% · Summer Onley
  
College Football

One FBS game on today's slate, Southern Miss at Troy, and the market sees a clear favorite.

College Football · Week 6 · FBS · 8:00 PM ET
Southern Miss · 22%78% · Troy
  
Soccer

One MLS match today, Chicago Fire hosting Vancouver, and the market gives the draw real weight.

MLS · 8:30 PM ET
Draw · 25%Chicago Fire · 32%43% · Vancouver
   
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