NFL · 1 game — Watch: Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams, 8:15 ET
MLB · 2 games — Watch: Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers, 5:00 ET
NHL · 3 games — Watch: Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres, 1:00 ET
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams · 8:15 ET
SoFi Stadium · Market: LAR -3.5, total 54.5
| Buffalo Bills · 40% | 60% · Los Angeles Rams |
Buffalo arrives at SoFi off a loss to New England that left the Patriots one result from the AFC East lead, and the model's biggest individual lean in this game sits on the other sideline: Puka Nacua is projected for the largest receiving night on either roster, well clear of Davante Adams. For the Bills, the pass-catcher to watch is tight end Dalton Kincaid, projected ahead of every Buffalo wideout.
| # | Quarterbacks | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenBUF | 24.2 |
| 2 | Matthew StaffordLAR | 20.2 |
| # | Flex | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka NacuaLAR | 23.0 |
| 2 | Kyren WilliamsLAR | 19.1 |
| 3 | James Cook IIIBUF | 17.0 |
| 4 | Davante AdamsLAR | 14.9 |
| 5 | Dalton KincaidBUF | 13.6 |
Optimal projection 7.3 | Market line 7.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF @ LAR | 8:15 | LAR -3.5 | 54.5 | LAR 60.0% |
Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers · 5:00 ET
American Family Field · Market: LAD -137, total 7.5
| Milwaukee Brewers · 44% | 56% · Los Angeles Dodgers |
Game 2 of the NLCS puts Yoshinobu Yamamoto against Logan Henderson in Milwaukee, and the strikeout gap is the story: Yamamoto is projected for a deeper start and far more swing-and-miss, with a ceiling that reaches double-digit strikeouts. Henderson's range tops out well below that, so if the Brewers are going to level the series, they will need to do it by putting the ball in play.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD | 20.4 |
| 2 | Drew RasmussenTB | 18.7 |
| 3 | Logan HendersonMIL | 16.0 |
| 4 | Foster GriffinCLE | 10.5 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose RamirezCLE | 9.4 |
| 2 | Yandy DiazTB | 9.1 |
| 3 | Junior CamineroTB | 8.5 |
| 4 | Jackson ChourioMIL | 8.5 |
| 5 | Chandler SimpsonTB | 8.4 |
Optimal projection 1.2 | Market line 1.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD @ MIL | 5:00 | LAD -137 | 7.5 | LAD 55.7% |
| CLE @ TB | 8:00 | TB -162 | 7 | TB 60.0% |
Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres · 1:00 ET
KeyBank Center · Market: BUF -109, total 6.5
| Florida Panthers · 50% | 50% · Buffalo Sabres |
Tage Thompson carries the highest shot ceiling in the building, and he is one of the few Sabres projected for a point. On the Florida side the shots run through Brady and Matthew Tkachuk, both projected for a steady workload on goal.
| # | Skaters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack HughesNJD | 13.4 |
| 2 | Jack EichelVGK | 12.8 |
| 3 | Tage ThompsonBUF | 12.2 |
| 4 | Matt BoldyMIN | 11.9 |
| 5 | Kirill KaprizovMIN | 11.8 |
Optimal projection 3.5 | Market line 3.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA @ BUF | 1:00 | BUF -109 | 6.5 | BUF 50.2% |
| OTT @ NJD | 7:00 | NJD -131 | 5.5 | NJD 54.5% |
| VGK @ MIN | 8:00 | MIN -112 | 5.5 | MIN 50.8% |
Four matches across three leagues today — two in Serie A, one each in La Liga and the Premier League, where Coventry host Newcastle.
| Draw · 27% | Coventry · 29% | 44% · Newcastle |
Seven matches on the tennis board: six in Wuhan and one in Shanghai, where Tommy Paul meets Valentin Vacherot.
| Valentin Vacherot · 40% | 60% · Tommy Paul |
That's today's board — see you back here tomorrow.
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