Today's Slate

NFL · 1 game — Watch: Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos, 8:15 ET

MLB · 2 games — Watch: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians, 1:00 ET

NHL · 11 games — Watch: Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs, 7:00 ET

NFL
 
Game of the Day

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos · 8:15 ET

Empower Field at Mile High · Market: SEA -2.5, total 40.5

Win probability
Denver Broncos · 44%56% · Seattle Seahawks
  

Jaxon Smith-Njigba carries the biggest receiving projection on the field by a wide margin, and he does it on a limited-practice ankle, which is the one variable worth watching before kickoff. Seattle's other lever is on the ground: Emanuel Wilson is projected as the lead back with Zach Charbonnet expected to sit again, in the first Macdonald–Payton meeting since the practice-footage feud of 2024.

TeamPASSRUSHREC
SEADarnold 223.6Wilson 67.4Smith-Njigba 93.0
DENNix 201.0Dobbins 49.1Waddle 48.0
Fantasy Projections
#QuarterbacksPROJ
1Josh AllenBUF26.6
2Drake MayeNE21.8
3Dak PrescottDAL21.5
4Brock PurdySF21.3
5Caleb WilliamsCHI21.0
#FlexPROJ
1Bijan RobinsonATL23.7
2Puka NacuaLAR23.0
3Christian McCaffreySF22.7
4Jonathan TaylorIND21.7
5Kenneth Walker IIIKC21.1
Prop of the Day
Emanuel Wilson — rushing yards
Optimal projection
73.7
Market line
66.5
Your call — vote and see how the room leans:

Emanuel Wilson rushing yards — Over or Under 66.5?

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The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
SEA @ DEN8:15SEA -2.540.5SEA 56.4%
MLB
 
Game of the Day

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · 1:00 ET

Progressive Field · Market: CLE -130, total 6.5

Win probability
Tampa Bay Rays · 45%55% · Cleveland Guardians
  

Gavin Williams is the one pitcher in this game with a real path to a big strikeout night, and the model also has him working deep into the game. Tampa Bay's Griffin Jax is projected for a far shorter, lower-strikeout outing, which tilts the pitching weight toward Cleveland's side of the ledger.

TeamPitcherIPKR
TBJax3.93.71.0
CLEWilliams5.36.21.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
TBDiaz 1.4Simpson 1.4Caminero 1.3
CLEDeLauter 1.4Ramirez 1.4Kwan 1.3
Fantasy Projections
#PitchersPROJ
1Gavin WilliamsCLE19.6
2Tyler GlasnowLAD17.1
3Griffin JaxTB10.8
#HittersPROJ
1Jose RamirezCLE9.7
2Jackson ChourioMIL9.7
3Brice TurangMIL8.9
4Shohei OhtaniLAD8.9
5Jake BauersMIL8.8
Prop of the Day
Chandler Simpson — hits
Optimal projection
1.1
Market line
0.5
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
TB @ CLE1:00CLE -1306.5CLE 54.7%
MIL @ LAD8:00LAD -1547.5LAD 58.4%
NHL
 
Game of the Day

Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs · 7:00 ET

Scotiabank Arena · Market: TOR -118, total 6.5

Win probability
Buffalo Sabres · 48%52% · Toronto Maple Leafs
  

Auston Matthews, Kirill Marchenko and Tage Thompson are the skaters projected for three shots, so the volume in this one runs through two forwards on Toronto and one on Buffalo. It is also a first look at a rebuilt Toronto roster that now includes No. 1 overall pick Gavin McKenna, against a Sabres team that handled the Leafs all last year.

TeamPTSSOGBlocks
BUFQuinn 1.0Quinn 3.0—
TORMatthews 1.0Matthews 3.0McCabe 2.0
Fantasy Projections
#SkatersPROJ
1Connor McDavidEDM15.8
2Nikita KucherovTBL15.3
3Kyle ConnorWPG14.3
4Leon DraisaitlEDM14.1
5Jack HughesNJD13.8
Prop of the Day
Jack Hughes — shots on goal
Optimal projection
3.7
Market line
3.5
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
BUF @ TOR7:00TOR -1186.5TOR 52.0%
NYR @ NJD7:00NJD -1426.5NJD 56.7%
NYI @ OTT7:00OTT -1555.5OTT 58.5%
VAN @ FLA7:00FLA -3006.5FLA 72.2%
SEA @ TBL7:00TBL -2516.5TBL 69.1%
PHI @ DET7:30DET -1385.5DET 56.1%
WPG @ CHI8:00WPG -1356.5WPG 55.1%
STL @ MIN8:00MIN -1435.5MIN 56.9%
SJS @ NSH8:00NSH -1386.5NSH 56.1%
UTAH @ EDM9:00EDM -1256.5EDM 53.3%
CGY @ VGK10:00VGK -3206.5VGK 73.4%
Also on Deck
College Football

Three college football games on the board today, with Colorado State at Texas State the night's headliner under the lights.

College Football · Week 7 · FBS · 8:00 PM ET
Colorado St. · 17%83% · Texas St.
  
Soccer

Eighteen Europa League matches are on the card, plus one Libertadores game, with Leverkusen's trip to Poland the marquee.

Europa League · 12:45 PM ET
Lech Poznan · 18%Draw · 20%62% · Leverkusen
   
Tennis

Five WTA matches in Wuhan and one ATP match in Shanghai are on today's schedule, with Ann Li and Janice Tjen opening the day in China.

WTA Wuhan · Round Of 16 · Best of 3 · 8:20 AM ET
Janice Tjen · 33%67% · Ann Li
  

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