Today's Slate

MLB · 1 game — Watch: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians, 8:00 ET

NHL · 14 games — Watch: New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals, 1:00 ET

WNBA · 1 game — Watch: Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries, 3:30 ET

MLB
 
Game of the Day

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · 8:00 ET

Progressive Field · Market: TB -113, total 6.5

Win probability
Cleveland Guardians · 49%51% · Tampa Bay Rays
  

Nick Martinez is the only pitcher on either side with a real strikeout ceiling, close to five on a good day, and he is also the arm projected to carry the bulk of the innings. If Tampa Bay's pitching plan holds, the game runs through him; Cleveland's Shawn Armstrong looks like a short-stint answer by comparison.

TeamPitcherIPKR
TBMartinez4.12.21.0
CLEArmstrong1.21.00.0

Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs

Team#1#2#3
TBSimpson 1.5Diaz 1.5Caminero 1.3
CLEKwan 1.3DeLauter 1.3Ramirez 1.2
Fantasy Projections
#PitchersPROJ
1Nick MartinezTB9.0
2Shawn ArmstrongCLE3.1
#HittersPROJ
1Chandler SimpsonTB8.8
2Victor Mesa Jr.TB8.5
3Jose RamirezCLE8.5
4Chase DeLauterCLE8.3
5Junior CamineroTB8.1
Prop of the Day
Nick Martinez — strikeouts
Optimal projection
2.4
Market line
2.5
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Nick Martinez strikeouts — Over or Under 2.5?

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The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
TB @ CLE8:00TB -1136.5TB 51.1%
NHL
 
Game of the Day

New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals · 1:00 ET

Capital One Arena · Market: WSH -121, total 6.5

Win probability
New Jersey Devils · 48%52% · Washington Capitals
  

Jack Hughes owns the highest shot ceiling of any skater in this game, six, and he is one of the few New Jersey players projected to get on the scoresheet. Washington's offense is spread thinner: Alex Tuch, Dylan Strome and Jakob Chychrun are the only Capitals projected for a point.

TeamPTSSOGBlocks
NJDHughes 1.0Hughes 3.0—
WSHTuch 1.0Ovechkin 2.0Fehervary 2.0
Fantasy Projections
#SkatersPROJ
1Nikita KucherovTBL15.6
2Jack EichelVGK14.8
3Connor McDavidEDM14.5
4Jason RobertsonDAL14.3
5Macklin CelebriniSJS13.5
Prop of the Day
Nikita Kucherov — points
Optimal projection
1.5
Market line
1.5
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
NJD @ WSH1:00WSH -1216.5WSH 52.4%
CAR @ WPG3:30CAR -1856.5CAR 62.8%
VAN @ TBL4:00TBL -4006.5TBL 77.3%
SEA @ FLA6:00FLA -1876.5FLA 63.1%
SJS @ DET7:00DET -1326.5DET 55.3%
NYR @ CBJ7:00CBJ -1326.5CBJ 54.9%
OTT @ PHI7:00OTT -1495.5OTT 58.3%
DAL @ CHI7:00DAL -1966.5DAL 64.4%
BUF @ MTL7:00MTL -1426.5MTL 56.4%
NYI @ TOR7:00TOR -1326.5TOR 54.7%
STL @ NSH8:00NSH -1056.5STL 50.9%
BOS @ LAK9:00LAK -1365.5LAK 55.6%
EDM @ UTAH10:00UTAH -1346.5UTAH 55.3%
PIT @ VGK10:00VGK -2306.5VGK 67.3%
WNBA
 
Game of the Day

Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries · 3:30 ET

Chase Center · Market: GS -2.5, total 154.5

Win probability
Atlanta Dream · 45%55% · Golden State Valkyries
  

Atlanta's clearest edges are on the glass and in the passing lane. Angel Reese is the only player on either side whose rebounding floor tops five, and Jordin Canada's assist ceiling clears eleven, nearly three better than anyone Golden State can put against her.

TeamPTSREBAST
ATLHoward 15.8Reese 11.0Canada 7.1
GSWilliams 18.7Stokes 8.2Burton 4.8
Fantasy Projections
#Top playsPROJ
1Angel ReeseATL31.8
2Gabby WilliamsGS30.0
3Jordin CanadaATL27.6
4Rhyne HowardATL27.1
5Allisha GrayATL23.7
Prop of the Day
Jordin Canada — assists
Optimal projection
7.1
Market line
7.0
The Full Board
MatchupTime ETLineTotalWin %
ATL @ GS3:30GS -2.5154.5GS 55.4%
Also on Deck
College Football

A 105-game Saturday across the FBS, with Ohio State's trip to Indiana the headline.

College Football · Week 7 · FBS · 12:00 PM ET
Indiana · 42%58% · Ohio St.
  
UFC

Thirteen fights on the UFC slate, built around the Buckley-Malott main event in Edmonton.

UFC · Welterweight · 5 rounds · 9:40 PM ET
Joaquin Buckley · 45%55% · Mike Malott
  
Soccer

Forty-two matches across eight competitions, MLS the deepest with 14, while Barcelona visit Real Betis in La Liga.

La Liga · 12:30 PM ET
Draw · 16%Real Betis · 15%69% · Barcelona
   
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