NFL · 12 games — Watch: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons, 1:00 ET
MLB · 1 game — Watch: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians, 5:00 ET
NHL · 2 games — Watch: Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild, 6:00 ET
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Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons · 1:00 ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Market: CHI -1.5, total 53.5
| Atlanta Falcons · 48% | 52% · Chicago Bears |
Bijan Robinson is the biggest lever in Atlanta: the only back on either sideline projected for a game that closes in on triple digits, with a ceiling that runs well past it. Drake London plays the same role through the air, the only receiver in this game the model sees clearing the 80s. On the Chicago side the work is spread thinner, with Luther Burden III the closest thing to a number-one target.
| # | Quarterbacks | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenBUF | 26.6 |
| 2 | Drake MayeNE | 21.8 |
| 3 | Brock PurdySF | 21.6 |
| 4 | Jordan LoveGB | 21.1 |
| 5 | Dak PrescottDAL | 21.1 |
| # | Flex | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan RobinsonATL | 24.6 |
| 2 | Puka NacuaLAR | 24.3 |
| 3 | Christian McCaffreySF | 22.6 |
| 4 | Jonathan TaylorIND | 22.3 |
| 5 | Kenneth Walker IIIKC | 21.3 |
Optimal projection 7.9 | Market line 7.5 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU @ JAX | 9:30 | JAX -2.5 | 42.5 | JAX 55.1% |
| CAR @ PHI | 1:00 | CAR -3 | 39.5 | CAR 60.4% |
| NO @ NYG | 1:00 | NO -1.5 | 46.5 | NO 50.9% |
| TEN @ IND | 1:00 | IND -6.5 | 44.5 | IND 71.3% |
| PIT @ TB | 1:00 | PIT -2.5 | 38.5 | PIT 56.7% |
| BAL @ CLE | 1:00 | BAL -2.5 | 39.5 | BAL 61.1% |
| CHI @ ATL | 1:00 | CHI -1.5 | 53.5 | CHI 52.4% |
| NYJ @ NE | 1:00 | NE -7.5 | 43.5 | NE 73.6% |
| ARI @ LAR | 4:05 | LAR -12.5 | 51.5 | LAR 83.9% |
| LAC @ KC | 4:25 | KC -7.5 | 41.5 | KC 75.3% |
| BUF @ OAK | 4:25 | BUF -5.5 | 53.5 | BUF 67.7% |
| DAL @ GB | 8:20 | GB -1.5 | 53.5 | GB 50.2% |
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · 5:00 ET
Progressive Field · Market: TB -134, total 6.5
| Cleveland Guardians · 45% | 55% · Tampa Bay Rays |
The ALCS lands in Cleveland, and the starting pitching is where the model separates the two sides. Drew Rasmussen is projected to work deeper than Parker Messick and miss more bats doing it, which hands Tampa Bay the longer outing from its starter before the bullpen gets involved.
Top bats — projected Hits + Runs + RBIs
| # | Pitchers | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew RasmussenTB | 18.8 |
| 2 | Parker MessickCLE | 13.6 |
| 3 | Nick MartinezTB | 11.1 |
| # | Hitters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy DiazTB | 9.0 |
| 2 | Chandler SimpsonTB | 8.4 |
| 3 | Jose RamirezCLE | 8.4 |
| 4 | Chase DeLauterCLE | 8.2 |
| 5 | Junior CamineroTB | 8.1 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB @ CLE | 5:00 | TB -134 | 6.5 | TB 55.0% |
Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild · 6:00 ET
Grand Casino Arena · Market: MIN -185, total 6.5
| Columbus Blue Jackets · 37% | 63% · Minnesota Wild |
Minnesota owns the top of the scoring board: Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy are the only skaters on either side with a three-point ceiling, and Quinn Hughes is the lone defenseman who joins them. Columbus counters with Zach Werenski, who is projected to put as many shots on net as Kaprizov himself.
| Team | PTS | SOG | Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Fantilli 1.0 | Werenski 3.0 | — |
| MIN | Eriksson Ek 1.0 | Eriksson Ek 3.0 | Brodin 2.0 |
| # | Skaters | PROJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kirill KaprizovMIN | 13.1 |
| 2 | Matt BoldyMIN | 12.2 |
| 3 | Sebastian AhoCAR | 11.7 |
| 4 | Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 11.5 |
| 5 | Quinn HughesMIN | 11.1 |
| Matchup | Time ET | Line | Total | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ @ MIN | 6:00 | MIN -185 | 6.5 | MIN 62.5% |
| CAR @ CGY | 8:00 | CAR -218 | 6.5 | CAR 66.5% |
Twenty-two matches across eight competitions today, led by five in Ligue 1 and four in the Premier League, with Real Madrid hosting Sevilla at the Bernabéu as the marquee fixture.
| Sevilla · 9% | Draw · 12% | 79% · Real Madrid |
Twelve matches across three tournaments today: five in Osaka on the WTA side, and four in Lyon and three in Brussels on the ATP side.
| Michael Mmoh · 50% | 50% · Jan Kumstat |
That's today's board — see you back here tomorrow.
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